Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
75%At least 64%
54%68%
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Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
74.54%median
66%82%
Median 74.54%Middle half 71.13% – 75.29%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.6% on Oct 20, 74.54% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 68% | 95% | 75¢ | $1.05 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 70% | 84% | 7¢ | $1.19 | 324 | ||
| At least 72% | 68% | 10¢ | $1.47 | 2.3K | ||
| At least 73% | 68% | 14¢ | $1.47 | 248 | ||
| At least 74% | 68% | 7¢ | $1.47 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 76% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.7K | ||
| At least 78% | 2% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 80% | 2% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 904 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Washtenaw County, Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan
Search ›- How Abdul El-Sayed defeated MAGA in Michigan – videoAbdul El-Sayed has become America’s first Muslim US senator following a brutal election laced with outspoken Islamophobia. Oliver Laughland and Tom Silverstone travel to Michigan to watch the final days of the campaign unfold. They witness…
- Michigan voters urge GOP to ‘recalibrate’ after Abdul El-Sayed’s Senate winFox News Michigan voters urge GOP to ‘recalibrate’ after Abdul El-Sayed’s Senate win Michigan voters James McManus and Adam Kaplan react to Abdul El-Sayed’s Senate victory and discuss the GOP’s path forward. Michigan voters Jimmy McManus…
- University of Michigan students rally behind Abdul El-Sayed after his Senate win over Mike RogersUniversity of Michigan students rallied behind Abdul El-Sayed, whose victory speech targeted AIPAC's roughly $30 million in outside spending. ANN ARBOR, Mich.— University of Michigan students galvanized around Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed…
- Abdul El-Sayed projected to win Michigan US Senate raceFox News Abdul El-Sayed projected to win Michigan US Senate race Abdul El-Sayed’s battle with GOP nominee Mike Rogers was one of the midterm cycle’s most watched and heated races.
- Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeats Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate raceNPR Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeats Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate race Democrat Abdul El-Sayed won the U.S. Senate election in Michigan. Longtime NPR political correspondent Don Gonyea talks about the results in his home state.
- NYC's Mamdani says Michigan sending Abdul El-Sayed to Senate 'means so much to so many'Fox News NYC's Mamdani says Michigan sending Abdul El-Sayed to Senate 'means so much to so many' New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said the election of Michigan's Abdul El-Sayed to the Senate is "incredibly exciting." (Credit: WNYW)
- How Abdul El-Sayed Overcame the Hate and Won Big in MichiganAbdul El-Sayed endured an ugly amount of hate during his senate campaign. Let us count the ways. In short, if ever a candidate was entitled to give a “fuck the haters” victory speech, it was El-Sayed early on Wednesday morning. He did not…
- Muslim American community reflects on Abdul El-Sayed's projected winCBS News Muslim American community reflects on Abdul El-Sayed's projected win 70-foot Christmas tree arrives in downtown Detroit Community leader 'Mama Shu' Harris wins Highland Park mayoral election 5-year-old girl recovering after…
- Abdul El-Sayed Wins in Michigan, Becomes First Muslim Elected to SenateAbdul El-Sayed has defeated MAGA Republican Mike Rogers in the race for Michigan’s open Senate seat. The win caps a remarkable run for the insurgent progressive — who ran on bringing prices down, making healthcare available for all, and AI…
- NYC's Mamdani says Abdul El-Sayed's Senate victory in Michigan 'means so much to so many'New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said the election of Michigan's Abdul El-Sayed to the Senate is "incredibly exciting." (Credit: WNYW) New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said Wednesday that Abdul El-Sayed's Senate election victory in…
- Abdul El-Sayed says he's not focused on Stevens endorsementNBC News Morning Rundown: Texas Democrats are coming for Musk and how the new blue Congress plans to lower prices
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Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
61.35%median
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Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
65%At least 56%
46%58%
Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
68.44%median
60%76%
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Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
65%At least 70%
54%72%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions