Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
30.63%median
26%38%
Median 30.63%Middle half 29.06% – 32.68%
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Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?
The odds
49%chance▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 48% on Oct 20, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 11 PM ET42% → 71%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | ▼ 2 | 46¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 19.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PP and Vox, Spain
Search ›- Almodóvar fears censorship under a possible PP and Vox governmentYoung creators may have to find work and financing before they can develop their projects, Pedro Almodóvar said in an interview with Aimar Bretos on Hoy por Hoy. He also pointed to the difficulty of finding housing. The filmmaker voiced…
- Spain's right holds poll lead over Sanchez's Socialists ahead of November 29 snap electionSpain's ruling Socialists have narrowed the gap but continue to trail the conservative People's Party, who would need to team up with the far-right Vox party to secure a majority of seats in parliament, pollsters say with three weeks to go…
- A wildfire killed their loved ones in Spain. These British families demand to know whyRelatives of Britons killed in this summer's wildfires in Spain have told the BBC they are disgusted, after regional politicians blocked an official inquiry into the disaster. Nine British nationals were among the 15 people who died when…
- Spain's right well ahead in polls for November 29 electionMADRID, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Spain's conservative People's Party (PP) would beat Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's Socialists but require the right-wing Vox to secure a parliamentary majority, according to the latest polls in the run-up to a…
- Spanish PM: The Far Right Will Crumble in Spain as It Did in Brazil and the USNovember 7, 2026 Hour: 11:48 am The acting Prime Minister of Spain and candidate for re-election, Pedro Sánchez, predicted this Saturday that the “wave of the far-right,” which is already “crumbling” in Brazil and the United States, will…
- Spain Poll Shows Socialists Edging AheadThis story is part of our coverage of the Spain Election 2026. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: Spain Election Day on 29 November 2026, Times and Rules A poll published on 5 November by SW Demoscopia puts Prime…
- Spanish prime minister calls meeting over 'migration emergency'Washington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Joe Burrow puts on masterclass in Spain with 4 TDs as Bengals win 4th straightBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. MADRID — Joe Burrow…
- Traders Put Spain’s Opposition at 89%Traders now put Alberto Núñez Feijóo, Spain’s conservative opposition leader, at about 89% to become prime minister after the Nov. 29 election. That is up from 84% in our Spain Election 2026 coverage earlier this week. The jump comes after…
- Spanish Woman Claims Ownership of The SunA Spanish woman has filed papers staking an official legal claim to the sun. Angeles Duran, 49, states in notarized documents she is now the official “owner of the sun, a star of spectral type G2, located in the center of the solar system…
- Spain Polls Split, Bettors Back OppositionThis story is part of our coverage of the Spain election 2026. The live odds, the polls and every report on the 29 November vote are in our Spain election 2026 dossier. This story is part of our coverage of the Europe political crisis. Why…
- Aragon draft budget puts cooperation funding at zeroFor readers in Spain, Aragon is followed as a Spanish region where politics, weather, tourism, transport and public services shape daily life.Updates cover local events, incidents, fiestas, holidays, business changes, travel plans and…
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All around the world ›Spanish general election: Vox vote percent
18.97%median
12%23%
Median 18.97%Middle half 17.46% – 20.25%
Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent
27.46%median
19%32%
Median 27.46%Middle half 25.81% – 29.64%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
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