Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 29, 2027 · $99 today · $11.1K traded · $3.1K at stake · prices read 20 min ago

Embed

The odds

27.46%median
19%32%
Median 27.46%Middle half 25.81% – 29.64%

How the odds have moved

Median: 27.32% on Oct 20, 27.46% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 21% 96% ▲ 1 93¢ 99¢ $1.01
At least 23% 96% ▲ 2 92¢ 99¢ $1.01
At least 24% 92% ▲ 3 89¢ 95¢ $1.05 10.6K
At least 25% 84% ▲ 3 80¢ 87¢ $1.15 200
At least 26% 73% ▲ 5 70¢ 76¢ $1.32 240
At least 27% 56% ▲ 6 53¢ 60¢ $1.67 210
At least 28% 43% ▲ 8 39¢ 46¢ $2.17 498
At least 29% 28% ▲ 8 25¢ 32¢ $3.13 25.00
At least 30% 23% ▲ 7 21¢ 25¢ $4.00 2.9K
At least 31% 11% ▲ 3 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 47.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: PSOE

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions