Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? (Before Jan 1, 2045)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 31, 2044 · $3.9K traded · $869 at stake · prices read 80 min ago

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The odds

17%Ding Xuexiang
  • Ding Xuexiang17%
  • Li Qiang13%
  • Zhao Leji10%
  • Chen Jining9%▲ 1
  • Li Xi3%▼ 1
  • Yin Yong3%
  • Li Ganjie1%
  • He Lifeng1%
  • Yin Li1%
  • Chen Min'er1%
  • Zhang Guoqing1%
  • Cai Qi1%
2 more
  • Wang Huning1%
  • Ma Xingrui1%

How the odds have moved

Ding Xuexiang: 24% on Oct 20, 17% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ding Xuexiang 17% 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 4.8K
Li Qiang 13% 10¢ 17¢ $5.88 15.7K
Zhao Leji 10% 10¢ 10¢ $10.00 2.9K
Chen Jining 9% ▲ 1 8¢ 10¢ $10.20 6.7K
Li Xi 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 4¢ $22.73 3.1K
Yin Yong 3% 0¢ 5¢ $20.41 572
Li Ganjie 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 400
He Lifeng 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 376
Yin Li 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.7K
Chen Min'er 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 630
Zhang Guoqing 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 761
Cai Qi 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 1.8K
Wang Huning 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 435
Ma Xingrui 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 626

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: China, Taiwan, Xi Jinping

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions