Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Conservative Party
93%
90¢
98¢
$1.02
Liberal Party
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
New Democratic Party
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Yorkton-Melville, Conservative Party, Liberal Party
B.C. Conservative Party raised nearly $2.5M in the 10 days after Findlay quitAbbotsford News · 6 days agoPublished 4:03 pm Tuesday, November 3, 2026 The B.C. Conservative Party raised nearly $2.5 million in the 10 days after former leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay’s resigned, supercharging its election war chest for the snap election called by…
Danielle Smith boots separatist leader out of Conservative partyLifeSite · 7 days ago(LifeSiteNews) — Alberta Premier Danielle Smith confirmed that she has kicked out of her party one of the main separatist leaders and organizers who led the charge for the province to separate from Canada over irregularities in his overall…
Garth Hamilton says Liberal Party set to shift on superannuation@abcnews · 9 days agoGarth Hamilton says the party should abandon any return to a super-for-housing type of policy. (ABC News: David Sciasci) Garth Hamilton is drawing a line in the sand over accessing superannuation for first home buyers, saying people now…
One Nation is heading towards the same rock on which the Liberal Party shatteredThe Sydney Morning Herald · 9 days agoNovember 1, 2026 — 5:00am One Nation is heading towards the rock on which the Liberal Party shattered. The party is playing out an accelerated re-enactment of the catastrophe of purpose that crept up on the Coalition over years. Since One…
Putnam Conservative Party acknowledges election law violation in Byrne lawsuitMid Hudson News · 10 days agoCARMEL – The Putnam County Conservative Party acknowledged violating state Election Law by distributing campaign mailings containing materially deceptive images in a lawsuit brought by Putnam County Executive Kevin Byrne, according to the…
British Columbia’s Conservative Earthquake Shakes Canada’s Political Landscape@AmericanThinker · 8 days agoConservatives score historic win in most left-wing province Arthur Schaper | November 2, 2026 Canada went tropical last week (October 24, 2026). I would have written “Hell freezes over in Canada,” but Canada is frozen most of the year, so…
Byrne says Putnam Conservative Party admits to election law violationsHudson Valley Living · 10 days agoPutnam County Executive Kevin Byrne's campaign says it has prevailed in a lawsuit against the Putnam County Conservative Committee over campaign mailings attacking Byrne that his campaign described as intentionally deceptive and in…
Brazil: Conservative Party Says Jair Bolsonaro Did Not Know Son Would Flee CountryBreitbart · 10 days agoThe president of the right-wing Liberal Party (PL) of Brazil, Valdemar Costa Neto, told reporters on Thursday that former President Jair Bolsonaro was not aware of his son Flávio’s plan to leave the country. Costa Neto, the president of…
Liberal Party president criticizes Flávio Bolsonaro’s lettervalorinternational · 11 days ago“I didn’t like it, I didn’t like it,” Costa Neto said upon arriving at the condominium where the former president lives. The visit was authorized by Justice Alexandre de Moraes of the Federal Supreme Court. He also reiterated that “no one…
Three federal byelections set for Quebec in DecemberCTVNews · 8 days agoElections Canada announced Sunday that six byelections will be held on Dec. 7, three of which will take place in Quebec. Elections Canada announced Sunday that six byelections will be held on Dec 7, three of which will take place in Quebec…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions