Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30, 2026
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$7.7K
October 10, 2026
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$36.8K
October 17, 2026
<1%
0¢
$21.9K
October 31, 2026
<1%
▼ 2
0¢
$26.4K
December 31, 2026
7%
5¢
8¢
$12.50
$28.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Yemen’s Houthis attack Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinerysemafor.com · 13 days agoYemen’s Iran-backed Houthis said they struck Saudi Arabia’s largest refinery while the US and Israel were reportedly preparing for a new round of combat with Tehran, driving oil higher on fears of fresh escalation in the Middle East…
Greek anarchists target Saudi embassy over Yemen conflictMiddle East Eye · 10 days agoA Greek anarchist group threw paint at Saudi Arabia's embassy in Athens at dawn on Thursday to protest against Riyadh's "medieval" repression and its involvement in the Yemen conflict. A video by the group, Rouvikonas, showed at least…
Saudi forces launch deadly strikes on Yemen: Houthi mediaThe Daily Star · 10 days agoSaudi forces launched deadly airstrikes on Yemen's Houthi-controlled capital Sanaa city and its surrounding governorate today, media associated with the Iran-backed group said, while also reporting around 20 strikes on Mocha. The Houthis'…
Saudi and Russian foreign ministers discuss Hormuz, Yemen at G20Middle East Eye · 10 days agoSaudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan has met with his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov on the sidelines of the G20 foreign ministers meeting in the US. The ministers discussed regional developments, with a focus on recent…
Egypt’s Conditional Shield: Defending Saudi Arabia Without a Yemen QuagmireNew Eastern Outlook · 10 days agoThe increasing frequency of attacks from Yemen targeting airports and energy infrastructure in Saudi Arabia has highlighted the serious challenges facing Riyadh. Repeated attacks by Sana’a on airports and energy infrastructure have exposed…
Yemen's Houthis deny drone attack on Saudi Arabia's Mecca regionDaijiworld.com · 11 days agoSanaa, Oct 30: Yemen's Houthi group on Friday denied launching any attacks against Saudi Arabia after the Saudi-led coalition claimed it had intercepted a Houthi drone over the Mecca region. The denial came after Saudi-led coalition…
Saudi, Yemeni FMs Discuss Houthi Attacks and Support for Yemeni Governmentالشرق الأوسط · 11 days agoSaudi Minister of Foreign Affairs Prince Faisal bin Farhan bin Abdullah received a phone call from Yemeni Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates Dr. Afrah Al-Zouba. They reviewed bilateral relations and discussed the latest…
Houthis sending Taiz ‘back to the stone age’, governor of besieged Yemen city saysthe Guardian · 11 days agoOxygen, food and water supplies running low and massacres taking place, says Nabil Shamsan The Houthis are trying to send the city of Taiz back to the stone age, the city’s governor said in a briefing designed to urge the international…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions