Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30
<1%
0¢
$2.1K
October 15
<1%
▼ 4
0¢
$83.5K
October 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$278K
November 30
6%
▲ 3
3¢
10¢
$9.71
$33.9K
December 31
11%
10¢
12¢
$8.33
$25K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Houthis Threaten Government's Hold on Aden, But Taiz Stands FastThe Maritime Executive · 6 days agoBy The Maritime Executive 2026-11-03 14:12:28 Fighting between the Houthis and forces of the Internationally Recognized Government (IRG) had been at something of a stalemate for several weeks, but that has changed in recent days. Having…
Civilians are desperate for food and medicine amid Houthi advance in YemenThe Washington Post · 6 days agoThe Washington Post Yemen is sinking into a humanitarian crisis as the Middle East braces for the prospect of renewed war, which President Donald Trump has threatened after the midterms. Renewed war between Iranian-backed Houthi rebels and…
Saudi Arabia Intercepts Houthi Drone Over Makkah | Houthis Deny AttackMid-Day · 6 days agoDRONE INTERCEPTED OVER MAKKAH SAUDI ARABIA BLAMES HOUTHIS BUT YEMENI GROUP DENIES LAUNCHING THE AIRCRAFT Saudi Arabias Ministry of Defence and the Saudiled coalition have reported the interception and destruction of a drone in the Makkah…
Saudi-Houthi war chilling expose: IRGC-Hezbollah directing Houthi operationsMid-Day · 5 days agoIs Iran and Hezbollahs involvement in Yemens war entering a new phase Yemens internationally recognised government has made a major allegation claiming that 21 operatives linked to Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps IRGC and Lebanons…
Saudi-led coalition launches 109 attacks against Houthi-held Yemeni areas: HouthisBastillepost 巴士的報 · 7 days agoYemen's Houthi group said on Monday that the Saudi-led coalition had carried out 109 airstrikes against several provinces in Yemen over the past 24 hours. Houthi sources said coalition airstrikes hit Saada, Amran and Taiz provinces on…
Houthis claim ballistic missile strike on Riyadh airportTASS · 5 days agoThe rebel spokesman Yahya Saree urged international airlines, their employees, and passengers to avoid Saudi Arabian airspace, once again describing it as unsafe DOHA, November 4. /TASS/. The Houthis of Yemen’s rebel Ansar Allah movement…
Yemen: Suspected Chemical Warfare Agents in Houthi AttacksEuropean Security & Defence · 6 days agoAccording to the internationally recognised Yemeni government and military officials, Houthi forces used artillery shells in Taiz Governorate in late October that may have contained toxic or chemical substances. Reports indicate that…
Saudi Arabia Intercepts Houthi Ballistic MissileGlobal Arab Network · 7 days agoSaudi Arabian air defense forces successfully intercepted and destroyed a ballistic missile early Thursday morning, according to an official announcement. The projectile had been launched by Houthi forces directed toward the Kingdom’s…
Saudi hosting of Asian Cup postponed after Houthi attacksThe Circuit · 6 days agoThe Circuit Football officials propose December start for tournament as security concerns disrupt major sporting and business events across the Gulf kingdom The official ball used at the AFC U20 Asian Cup China 2027 Qualifiers match…
Houthi Fighters Launch Ground Incursions Into Saudi ArabiaOilPrice.com · 6 days agoIran War Triples Logistics Costs for Oil Services Firms A surge in attacks by… Overall, for the month of… Washington faces a strategic dilemma,… Fresh reporting in Middle East regional outlets suggests a major escalation in Houthi attacks…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions