Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ September 18
>99%
▲ 6
100¢
100¢
$1.6K
September 19
<1%
▼ 26
0¢
$394
September 20
5%
0¢
11¢
$9.35
$43.1K
September 21
28%
80¢
100¢
$3K
September 22
28%
0¢
8¢
$12.50
$2.6K
✓ September 23
>99%
100¢
100¢
$2.2K
September 24
28%
3¢
11¢
$9.17
$1.1K
September 25
<1%
▼ 8
1¢
$100.00
$58.6K
September 26
28%
0¢
60¢
$1.68
$15.9K
September 27
28%
3¢
13¢
$7.69
$662
September 28
43%
▲ 4
15¢
99¢
$1.01
$26.3K
September 29
43%
35¢
95¢
$1.06
$11.5K
September 30
43%
0¢
11¢
$9.17
$19K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions