Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $7.5K today · $381K traded · $16.3K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

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The odds

80%Yashar
  • Yashar80%▲ 3
  • Together78%▼ 10
  • Yisrael Beiteinu63%▼ 7
  • United Torah Judaism54%▼ 16
  • The Democrats50%▼ 11
  • Likud26%▲ 4
  • Shas25%▼ 6
  • Ra'am24%▲ 4
  • RZP-Zehut23%▲ 5
  • Otzma Yehudit13%▼ 1
  • Joint List4%
  • Amcha Yisrael3%
3 more
  • Noam2%
  • Blue and White2%
  • New Economic Party / The Reservists2%

How the odds have moved

Yashar: 59% on Oct 20, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yashar 80% ▲ 3 73¢ 86¢ $1.16 $32.3K
Together 78% ▼ 10 71¢ 84¢ $1.19 $29.9K
Yisrael Beiteinu 63% ▼ 7 61¢ 64¢ $1.56 $14.5K
United Torah Judaism 54% ▼ 16 50¢ 57¢ $1.75 $30.6K
The Democrats 50% ▼ 11 46¢ 54¢ $1.85 $13.9K
Likud 26% ▲ 4 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 $42.8K
Shas 25% ▼ 6 20¢ 29¢ $3.45 $45.6K
Ra'am 24% ▲ 4 20¢ 27¢ $3.70 $50.4K
RZP-Zehut 23% ▲ 5 22¢ 24¢ $4.17 $29.6K
Otzma Yehudit 13% ▼ 1 10¢ 16¢ $6.25 $33.6K
Joint List 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 $16.6K
Amcha Yisrael 3% 1¢ 4¢ $23.81 $9.5K
Noam 2% 1¢ 4¢ $26.32 $16.3K
Blue and White 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 $3.2K
New Economic Party / The Reservists 2% 0¢ 3¢ $33.33 $12.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Yisrael Beiteinu

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions