The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No Next Minister by Feb 28
33%
▲ 2
33¢
33¢
$3.00
$92.7K
Naftali Bennett
28%
▼ 1
18¢
39¢
$2.58
$20.8K
Avigdor Lieberman
22%
▲ 3
20¢
23¢
$4.31
$44.5K
Gadi Eizenkot
6%
▼ 1
5¢
8¢
$12.66
$3.3K
Israel Katz
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.49
$9.7K
Moshe Feiglin
2%
0¢
3¢
$29.41
$4.1K
Ofer Winter
1%
1¢
2¢
$62.50
$11.5K
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%
▼ 1
0¢
2¢
$55.56
$2.6K
Yair Golan
1%
1¢
1¢
$90.91
$2.6K
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$1.7K
Yoram Cohen
<1%
0¢
1¢
$1.7K
Bezalel Smotrich
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.9K
Eli Cohen
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.5K
Yair Lapid
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.6K
Matan Kahana
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.8K
Elazar Stern
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.1K
Amir Ohana
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.4K
Benny Gantz
<1%
0¢
$4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Israeli Minister of Defense, Naftali Bennett, Avigdor Lieberman
Israel’s Election Aftermath: Deadlock, Fragmented Blocs, and the Wild Cards Aheadtownhall.com · 3 days agoWho won? Nobody clearly. But there were winners even though there’s been no conclusive outcome. Who lost? Israel. And depending on how you look at it, some parties took a big hit. Preparations for Iranian strikes and Israeli participation…
Netanyahu Exit Odds Jump to 56% by Mid-2027The Rio Times · 4 days agoBetting markets now say Benjamin Netanyahu is more likely than not to be out as Israel’s prime minister by 30 June 2027. On Polymarket, a crypto-based trading platform, the price is 56%, up about 16.5 points in seven days and 7.5 points in…
Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, Avigdor Liberman, Golan hold first post-election meetingThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 7 days agoYashar's Gadi Eisenkot, B'Yachad's Naftali Bennett, Yisrael Beytenu's Avigdor Liberman, and the Democrats' Yair Golan were set to meet on Tuesday morning for their first joint meeting since the elections, as all leaders have said they…
A historic Arab vote: Can Palestinians disrupt Israel's Apartheid system?MEO · 4 days agoThe results of Israel's October 27 elections were welcomed by Palestinian Arab communities in Israel and millions of Palestinians worldwide. Neither Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing bloc nor that of his rival, former…
Israel: How to get a majority in the Knesset against NetanyahuVreme · 4 days agoThe leader of the opposition, Gadi Eisenkot, has a real chance to replace Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister. For the first time, Arab parties could play a decisive role After parliamentary elections on October 27, no bloc won a majority…
Arab Parties Back Eisenkot for Prime MinisterPolitis · 4 days agoGadi Eisenkot has secured the recommendations of 67 members of the Knesset for the premiership, surpassing the 61-seat threshold, after the Joint List decided to nominate him to President Isaac Herzog. Consultations concluded yesterday and…
Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, Avigdor Liberman, Golan to hold joint meetingThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 7 days agoAll three opposition bloc leaders seeking to replace Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said they intend to recommend Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot to form the next government ahead of consultations at the President’s Residence, which…
‘Minimal look, maximal politics’: how the black T-shirt became a political weaponthe Guardian · 3 days agoWorn by Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, Andy Burnham and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, fashion experts say the look radiates authority and no-nonsense masculinity For years the black T-shirt was consigned to the clothing category of plain basics. A hidden…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions