The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ October 2
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$3.8K
✓ October 3
>99%
▲ 6
100¢
100¢
$1.4K
✓ October 4
>99%
▲ 4
95¢
100¢
$10.7K
✓ October 5
>99%
78¢
100¢
$8.9K
October 6
54%
▼ 5
48¢
60¢
$1.67
$8.6K
✓ October 7
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$3K
✓ October 8
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$3.8K
✓ October 9
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$2K
✓ October 10
>99%
▲ 5
95¢
100¢
$1.7K
✓ October 11
>99%
▲ 10
98¢
100¢
$3K
✓ October 12
>99%
▲ 7
100¢
100¢
$1.9K
✓ October 13
>99%
▲ 11
100¢
100¢
$1.5K
✓ October 14
>99%
▲ 4
94¢
100¢
$3.2K
✓ October 15
>99%
▲ 8
100¢
100¢
$75.4K
✓ October 16
>99%
▲ 11
99¢
100¢
$1.6K
✓ October 17
>99%
▲ 9
98¢
100¢
$3.3K
October 18
84%
▲ 8
99¢
100¢
$1.6K
October 19
84%
▲ 19
99¢
100¢
$9K
October 20
84%
▲ 13
100¢
100¢
$3K
October 21
84%
▲ 6
98¢
100¢
$1.1K
October 22
84%
▲ 8
97¢
100¢
$2.8K
October 23
84%
▲ 8
99¢
100¢
$2K
October 24
84%
▲ 10
96¢
100¢
$2.3K
October 25
84%
▲ 3
99¢
100¢
$3.5K
October 26
84%
▲ 7
95¢
100¢
$3.6K
October 27
84%
▲ 3
94¢
100¢
$4.6K
October 28
84%
▼ 1
92¢
100¢
$3.8K
October 29
84%
▼ 10
0¢
2¢
$41.67
$6.3K
October 30
84%
▼ 4
1¢
6¢
$17.24
$4.8K
October 31
>99%
▲ 21
100¢
100¢
$4.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Israel's president taps Netanyahu's political rival to form a new governmentNPR · 16 h agoIsrael's president has tapped Benjamin Netanyahu's chief political rival, Gadi Eisenkot, to form a new government following an inconclusive election that left the country's leadership in limbo. Israel's president taps Netanyahu's political…
Israel’s Eisenkot, tasked with forming government, moves to oust NetanyahuThe Washington Post · 26 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Gadi Eisenkot said…
Israeli opposition eyes deal with ultra-Orthodox Jewish parties to oust NetanyahuThe Washington Post · 13 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Building a coalition…
NETANYAHU IN GAZA: “We Are Not Withdrawing — Israel Controls 60% Of The Strip”@YWN · 4 h agoPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited IDF troops inside the Gaza Strip on Wednesday, declaring that Israel currently controls approximately 60% of the territory and has no intention of withdrawing from the Yellow Line. “We control the…
Israel's President taps Netanyahu rival Gadi Eisenkot to form the new governmentNPR · 45 h agoIsrael's president has tapped a lawmaker to try to form a new government. He has about six weeks to build a coalition. Israel has taken a big step toward ousting its longest serving prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu. Today, his main…
Israeli president invites Netanyahu's opposition leader to broker new governmentNPR · 2 days agoIsrael's political landscape shifts as President Herzog hands opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot the mandate to form a government, dealing a blow to Benjamin Netanyahu's grip on power. Israeli president invites Netanyahu's opposition leader…
Report: Trump presses Netanyahu to advance Gaza peace plan after Israeli electionsIsrael National News · 22 h agoTrump urges Netanyahu to move forward with his Gaza peace plan following Israel's elections, as Washington seeks progress on Hamas disarmament and Gaza governance. Report: Trump presses Netanyahu to advance Gaza peace plan after Israeli…
Israeli president taps Netanyahu rival to form government as coalition battle loomsFox News · 2 days agoChief correspondent Jonathan Hunt reports from Tel Aviv, Israel, on deadlocked coalition negotiations as political factions meet with President Isaac Herzog. Following the elections, Benjamin Netanyahu and political rival Gadi Eisenkot…
Israel's president taps opposition candidate, not Netanyahu, to form a governmentNPR · 2 days agoGadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar ("Straight") party, waves an Israeli flag onstage last month in Tel Aviv following the release of the first exit poll results in Israel's general election. Ariel Schalit/AP hide caption Israel's…
Israeli president taps ex-general Eisenkot, opponent of Netanyahu, to form governmentThe Washington Post · 2 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The former military…
President Trump Presses Netanyahu: Israel’s Election Is Over—Move On Gaza Peace PlanWLT Report · 27 h agoPresident Donald Trump has reportedly delivered Benjamin Netanyahu a blunt post-election message: the campaign is over, and it is time to move on the Gaza peace plan. The timing changes everything. Netanyahu is fighting to keep power after…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions