Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
The odds
$452,851median
$432,000$523,000
Median $452,851Middle half $442,758 – $464,465
How the odds have moved
Median: $457,564 on Oct 20, $452,851 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$445K | 30% | ▼ 5 | 29¢ | 30¢ | $3.31 | $13.3K |
| $445K - $458K | 33% | ▼ 8 | 31¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | $19.9K |
| $458K - $471K | 24% | ▲ 4 | 13¢ | 34¢ | $2.91 | $5.2K |
| $471K - $484K | 7% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | $4.4K |
| $484K - $497K | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | $7.5K | |
| $497K - $510K | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5.3K | ||
| $510K+ | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | $5.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York City
Search ›- UFC 334: Fight card, date, complete guide as Ciryl Gane takes on Josh Hokit in New York CityCBS Sports UFC 334: Fight card, date, complete guide as Ciryl Gane takes on Josh Hokit in New York City A pair of title fights are set to headline at Madison Square Garden in New York City The UFC heavyweight championship is on the line in…
- Giants honor Rachel Apa after New York City Marathon death at age 24: 'She's in God's hands now'New York Giants head coach John Harbaugh put football on hold during his media session Wednesday, paying tribute to Rachel Apa, the 24-year-old runner who collapsed and died during Sunday's New York City Marathon. Before taking a single…
- John Harbaugh Crushed By Tragic Death At The New York City MarathonNew York Giants head coach John Harbaugh is offering his thoughts and prayers to the family of Rachel Apa. Apa, 24, passed away while running the 2026 New York City Marathon this past Sunday. She collapsed just 2.2 miles from the finish…
- Mamdani pushes ahead with New York City second-home tax proposalFox News Mamdani pushes ahead with New York City second-home tax proposal Adam Lehodey from the Manhattan Institute discusses Zohran Mamdani's proposal for a second-home tax in New York City. Adam Lehodey from the Manhattan Institute…
- Tragedy strikes at New York City Marathon as ‘perfect health’ 24-year-old diesRachel Apa, 24, of Lewisberry, Pennsylvania, was a former Division I field hockey player at Bucknell University who ran on Sunday to fight Parkinson's disease, which had killed her grandfather. Apa appeared to be in perfect health and…
- New York City Digs Out After Near-Record SnowstormJanuary 24, 2016 / 7:50 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK (CBSNewYork/AP) -- New York City residents are digging out of the snow Sunday after a mammoth blizzard. Officials say the 26.8 inches of snow that fell in Central Park is the…
- Rockefeller Christmas tree arrives in New York CityNew York's Rockefeller Center is getting ready for the holidays with the delivery of the traditional Christmas Tree. (Source: WCBS) NEW YORK (WCBS) - New York’s Rockefeller Center is getting ready for the holidays with the delivery of the…
- Comic Book Preview – Godzilla vs. America: New York CityThe King of the Monsters continues his rampage across the United States this week in IDW Publishing’s Godzilla vs. America: New York City; get yourself a sneak peek at the one-shot special with the official preview below…The city that…
- New York City's 'Strand' bookstore targeted with COVID finektnv.com New York City's 'Strand' bookstore targeted with COVID fine
- New York City FC Takes on D.C. United Saturday at Audi FieldNew York City FC visit D.C. United on Saturday, Nov. 7, at Audi Field, with kickoff at 4:00 p.m. ET. New York City FC tied CF Montréal 1-1 on Saturday, Oct. New York City FC Takes on D.C. United Saturday at Audi Field New York City FC…
- 2026 Rockefeller Center Christmas Tree Arrives in New York CityA magnificent Norway spruce has made its journey from West Edmeston, New York, to Rockefeller Center. The tree will undergo a glow-up ahead of the lighting ceremony on Dec. 2. 2026 Rockefeller Center Christmas Tree Arrives in New York City…
- Rockefeller Center Christmas Tree arrives in New York CityLook who came home for the holidays! This year’s Christmas tree is being hoisted into place at Rockefeller Center for the holiday season. NBC New York’s Dave Price reports. It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas at Rockefeller Center…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions