Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?
The odds
$501,453median
$499,000$523,000
Median $501,453Middle half $500,227 – $502,680
How the odds have moved
Median: $516,894 on Oct 6, $501,453 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$503K | 82% | ▲ 8 | 84¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | $20.4K |
| $503K - $507K | 13% | ▼ 3 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.85 | $5.8K |
| $507K - $511K | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | $2.5K | |
| $511K - $515K | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $4K |
| $515K - $519K | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $3.6K | ||
| $519K - $521K | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $5.3K |
| $521K+ | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $5.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: DC Metro
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions