Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
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What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?
The odds
$318,238median
$298,000$331,000
Median $318,238Middle half $315,078 – $321,505
How the odds have moved
Median: $321,905 on Oct 20, $318,238 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$303K | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $2.7K |
| $303K - $308K | 5% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $4.9K |
| $308K - $313K | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $1.4K | |
| $313K - $318K | 40% | ▲ 5 | 27¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | $12.7K |
| $318K - $323K | 38% | ▼ 3 | 36¢ | 38¢ | $2.67 | $15.3K |
| $323K - $327K | 13% | ▼ 2 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $5K |
| $327K+ | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $58.82 | $8.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chicago Metro
Search ›- Builder confidence hits a 14-year lowRead today’s top story: September sales slow, but some Chicago suburbs see gains The median sale price in the Chicago metro area rose 5.2% year over year during the four weeks ending Oct. 11, according to Redfin. Chicago-area home prices…
- Cascade Members, Meet Your 2027 Board of Director CandidatesFor 2027, we have seven seats up for election. Over the past months, we’ve received great nominations. After review, the search committee is happy to present four returning candidates and three new candidates to the Cascade Board of…
- Donna Vickroy: Need for food across Chicago region ‘highest we’ve recorded’After he finishes mowing the lawn for the United Methodist Church in Tinley Park, the landscape worker enters the building, heads to the basement and picks up a box of food. “Because his job isn’t enough to keep his family going,” said Ed…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions