USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Nov 30 · $8.3K today · $61.9K traded · $6.8K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

Nov 15, 2026even chance by

October 31<1%▼ 1
November 3<1%▼ 1
November 7<1%
November 1213%▲ 10
November 1555%▲ 1
November 3097%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

October 31: 6% on Oct 20, <1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
October 31	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$10.4K
November 3	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$2.5K
November 7	<1%		0¢	1¢		$10.9K
November 12	13%	▲ 10	13¢	14¢	$7.04	$10K
November 15	55%	▲ 1	54¢	57¢	$1.75	$22.1K
November 30	97%	▲ 1	95¢	98¢	$1.02	$6.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: USS Theodore Roosevelt, CENTCOM

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USS Theodore Roosevelt Aircraft Carrier Completes Its 250,000th Trap LandingThe Aviationist · 28 h agoCommander Brandon Miller, operations officer of Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 11, marked this achievement by landing an F/A-18F Super Hornet on the carrier’s flight deck. Theodore Roosevelt’s commanding officer, Captain Brian Schrum, praised the…
CARRIER MOVEMENT: USS Theodore Roosevelt Arrives In Singapore Ahead Of Expected Middle East Deployment@YWN · 2 days agoThe U.S. Navy’s Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt arrived at Changi Naval Base in Singapore earlier today for a port visit. The aircraft carrier is expected to remain in Singapore for several days before continuing…
USS Theodore Roosevelt Arrives In Singapore; Last Stop Before Third Strike Group Reaches The Middle EastTWZ · 3 days agoPublished Nov 6, 2026 4:17 PM EST The next leg of Roosevelt’s transit to the CENTCOM AOR runs north through the narrow Strait of Malacca and west across the vast Indian Ocean. In August, USS George Washington completed the journey from the…
New Details on Movements of the USS Theodore Roosevelt Aircraft CarrierDaily Beirut · 4 days agoDaily Beirut American website "Axios" reported on Thursday, citing a US official who said that the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt - CVN 71 (Theodore Roosevelt) begins, on Friday, a visit to the port of Singapore lasting several…
CENTCOM launches Iran-based land blockade task forceFox News · 30 h agoRet. U.S. Navy Capt. Brent Sadler discusses the war in Iran after U.S. forces strike a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Fox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on developments in the Middle East on 'Fox Report.' CENTCOM…
Explosions target southern Iran as CENTCOM announces new land blockadeFox News · 35 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on the latest military action between the U.S. and Iran. The 'Fox News Sunday' provides analysis on the conflict and President Donald Trump's post-midterm strategy. Explosions target…
CENTCOM forces disable ship in Gulf of OmaFox News · 2 days agoSt. Kitts-flagged vessel's civilian crew reportedly ignored multiple warnings and attempted to violate the anti-Iranian naval blockade. (@CENTCOM via X) ... CENTCOM forces disable ship in Gulf of Oma he St. Kitts-flagged vessel's civilian…
Trump Holds Off on Iran Strikes as US, Israel Prepare for Possible Military Operationarabtimes · 28 h agoWASHINGTON, Nov 9: US President Donald Trump has held off on ordering renewed military strikes against Iran despite preparations by American and Israeli forces for a possible military operation, according to a report by The Jerusalem Post…
U.S. Carrier Strike Group Leaves South China Sea as Washington Prioritises Buildup Against IranMilitary Watch Magazine · 3 days agoChinese commercial satellite imagery has revealed the movement of the U.S. Navy’s Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group through the South China Sea, illustrating how commercial remote-sensing capabilities are making the movements of…
Israel prepared for US strike on Iran, but Donald Trump held offThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 28 h agoIsrael was prepared over the weekend for the possibility that US President Donald Trump would order a strike on Iran, but no such order was ultimately issued, two sources told The Jerusalem Post. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with…
US, Japan deploy 200 aircraft and 40 ships; coordinate across land, sea, air in major military drillInteresting Engineering · 2 days agoThe exercise tested Japan-US coordination across land, sea and air, while also covering cyber, space and electromagnetic operations. Japan and the US deployed approximately 56,000 personnel, 200 aircraft and 40 ships during the 11-day…
Third US aircraft carrier will not reach the Middle East before mid-November, Axios reportsThe Insight International · 3 days agoBAGHDAD, November 6, 2026. The USS Theodore Roosevelt will not reach the US Central Command area before mid-November, Axios reported on Thursday, citing a US official. The carrier is due to begin a port call in Singapore on Friday and stay…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$61.9K

Today$8.3K

This week$27K

At stake$6.8K

In the news2 headlines today, 84 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions