The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
October 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
1¢
$6.2K
December 31
16%
▼ 17
13¢
18¢
$5.56
$11.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Syrian government forces enter northern towns after Kurdish fighters withdrawCBS News · 10 days agoJanuary 17, 2026 / 6:36 AM EST / CBS/AP Syrian government forces entered two northern towns Saturday morning after the command of Kurdish-led fighters said it would evacuate the area in an apparent move to avoid conflict. An Associated…
Jordan launches air strikes in Syria following unprecedented church shootingNPR · 11 days agoJordan-Syria tensions have spiked after a mass shooting at a Jordanian church. Jordan launched airstrikes it said targeted ISIS fighters in Syria, which Syrian officials say killed three children. Jordan launches air strikes in Syria…
Syrians struggle with soaring prices as crisis challenges post-Assad recoveryBBC News · 11 days agoMany Syrians say their economic situation has worsened in the last two years amid a cost-of-living crisis Last month, protests erupted in squares and streets across Syria. People burned tyres, blocked roads and chanted slogans, angry at…
Pregnant women in Yemen forced to give birth with no medical help | CNNCNN · 10 days agoPregnant women in Yemen are some of the ones most at risk after renewed violence between Saudi-backed Yemeni forces and Houthi rebels has cut them off from medical care. Aid agencies say that mothers are being forced to give birth in…
Syria arrests two alleged Daesh terrorists@arabnews · 8 days agoDAMASCUS: Syrian authorities said on Sunday they arrested two alleged members of the Daesh terrorist group in the east of the country, blaming them for targeted killings including that of a defense ministry official. Since coming to power…
Yemen: Cholera Outbreak - Mar 2024ReliefWeb · 8 days agoSince mid-March 2024, Yemen has seen a dramatic surge in AWD cases, with 29 536 suspected cases reported by 25 April 2024. With heavy seasonal rains affecting already fragile water and sanitation systems, each day currently brings 500 to…
How Houthi detentions are choking Yemen’s humanitarian lifeline@arabnews · 8 days agoLONDON: For more than two years after Mohammad Al-Shami was detained by the Houthis, his family and colleagues were given virtually no indication of what had happened to him. There was no information about his condition and no proof of…
Syrian Arab Republic: 2026-2027 Winter Response PrioritisationReliefWeb · 8 days agoThis document is an extract of the Syria 2026 Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP)1 and provides a prioritisation of the winter response for critical sectors during the 2026–2027 winter season. As with all seasonal emergencies…
Qatar, Syria discuss defence cooperation@thepeninsulaqatar · 8 days agoDeputy Prime Minister and Minister of State for Defence Affairs H E Sheikh Saoud bin Abdulrahman bin Hassan bin Ali Al Thani met Syrian Minister of De... Qatar, Syria discuss defence cooperation Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of State…
300,000 people displaced as fighting rages in western Yemen@arabnews · 8 days agoLONDON: More than 300,000 people have fled their homes due to fighting in western Yemen, almost all of them in the past two months, the International Organization for Migration said on Sunday. Families were facing soaring prices and a…
Syria: From Regime Preservation to Position Preservation@besa_center · 9 days agoSyria shows how Moscow responded when an established position came under threat. The relationship with Iran raises a different question: how far is Russia prepared to go for a partner that became more important after 2022? Gaza…
Syria Denounces Jordanian Airstrikes in DaraaGlobal Arab Network · 9 days agoThe Syrian Foreign Ministry has condemned recent Jordanian airstrikes in the southern province of Daraa, citing civilian casualties and regional tensions. Syria Denounces Jordanian Airstrikes in Daraa The Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions