French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 18, 2027 · $84 today · $43.1K traded · $2.8K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

29%Jean-Luc Mélenchon
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon29%
  • Édouard Philippe27%▲ 1
  • Raphaël Glucksmann16%
  • David Lisnard14%▲ 1
  • Marine Le Pen4%
  • Christine Lagarde4%
  • Gabriel Attal3%
  • François Hollande1%▼ 1
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Bruno Retailleau<1%
  • Sarah Knafo<1%
4 more
  • Éric Zemmour<1%
  • Jordan Bardella<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%

How the odds have moved

Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 36% on Oct 20, 29% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 29% 29¢ 30¢ $3.33 $10.1K
Édouard Philippe 27% ▲ 1 27¢ 29¢ $3.45 $6.5K
Raphaël Glucksmann 16% 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 $5.4K
David Lisnard 14% ▲ 1 14¢ 16¢ $6.17 $4.8K
Marine Le Pen 4% 2¢ 8¢ $13.16 $3K
Christine Lagarde 4% 2¢ 8¢ $13.16 $2.2K
Gabriel Attal 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.24 $2.9K
François Hollande 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $43.48 $972
Dominique de Villepin 1% 1¢ 2¢ $55.56 $1.1K
François Ruffin <1% 0¢ 1¢ $913
Bruno Retailleau <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1K
Sarah Knafo <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1K
Éric Zemmour <1% 0¢ 0¢ $933
Jordan Bardella <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1K
Marine Tondelier <1% 0¢ 0¢ $695
Sébastien Lecornu <1% 0¢ $316

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: French Presidential, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions