India strike on Pakistan by...?
5%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20265%▼ 4
Install
Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?
The odds
9%December 31
- October 311%▼ 3
- December 319%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
October 31: 15% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETOctober 31: 14% → 8%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | $2.6K |
| December 31 | 9% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $6.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rahul Gandhi
Search ›- Rahul Gandhi Vs CEC| INDIA Bloc Plans Mega Rally; Rahul Gandhi Takes On BJP Over 'Vote Chori', CECThe INDIA bloc is gearing up for a major show of strength at Delhi's Ramlila Maidan, escalating its confrontation with the BJP over alleged 'vote chori' and the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls. Rahul Gandhi has accused…
- Ramchander Rao Accuses Rahul Gandhi of Avoiding Key Issues in ParliamentThe term 'vote chori' has been introduced by the Congress to confuse people and target constitutional authorities like the Election Commission of India: Rao Hyderabad: Telangana BJP chief Ramchander Rao here on Saturday said Rahul Gandhi…
- Amit Shah slam 'vote chori' allegations, challenge Rahul Gandhi to debateAn intense political clash has erupted between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the opposition over the planned public impeachment of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar. Addressing a gathering in Gujarat, Prime Minister Narendra Modi…
- Rahul Gandhi Issues Chalo Dilli Call, Traders Object, INDIA Bloc Plans MarchCongress leader Rahul Gandhi has issued a renewed call for the Chalo Dilli protest scheduled for November 1, urging citizens and INDIA bloc leaders to join a march starting from the Connaught Place Minto Junction via Ajmeri Gate to Ramlila…
- Mallikarjun Kharge, Sonia Gandhi & Rahul Gandhi pay tribute to Indira Gandhi at Shakti SthalMallikarjun Kharge, Sonia Gandhi & Rahul Gandhi pay tribute to Indira Gandhi at Shakti Sthal
- Rahul' Gandhi's November 1 March: Opposition's Bigger CEC Gyanesh Kumar BattleThe INDIA bloc's campaign against Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar is set to intensify, despite rain forcing a 24-hour postponement of its symbolic public impeachment exercise to October 31. Rahul Gandhi has confirmed the revised…
- After Rahul Gandhi, Delhi Traders Turn To His Allies Over November 1 RallyAfter multiple letters to the Leader of the Opposition in the Lok Sabha, Rahul Gandhi, Delhi's traders have turned to his INDIA bloc allies, including Akhilesh Yadav, Mamata Banerjee, Tejashwi Yadav, and Uddhav Thackeray, seeking their…
- Rahul Gandhi News | INDIA Bloc's 'Public Impeachment' Of CEC Today; Kharge To Lead ProceedingsThe INDIA bloc is holding symbolic public impeachment proceedings against Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar, escalating its political campaign over alleged electoral irregularities. The event, postponed due to rain, is being held…
- IDBI Bank Divestment Sparks Clash: Rahul Gandhi Alleges Fraud, FM Hits BackA major political confrontation has erupted between Leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi and Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman over the proposed privatization of IDBI Bank. Rahul Gandhi accused the government of fraud in the disinvestment…
- IDBI Bank Sale To Fairfax: Nirmala Sitharaman Counters Rahul Gandhi's OppositionThe proposed sale of IDBI Bank has triggered a fresh political confrontation between Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi, with both leaders questioning each other's approach to India's banking sector…
- Rahul Gandhi vs Nirmala Sitharaman on IDBI Bank Privatisation, PSU Valuation & Tata GroupA major political clash has erupted between Leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi and Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman over the proposed privatization of IDBI Bank. Rahul Gandhi accused the Narendra Modi government of undervaluing a premier…
- PM Modi Mocks Rahul Gandhi's Aloo Jibe, Slams Opposition Amid Parliament FaceoffPrime Minister Narendra Modi addressed a gathering in Gujarat's Banaskantha after inaugurating projects worth over 19,000 crore rupees, taking a swipe at Rahul Gandhi over his past remarks. The Prime Minister also targeted the opposition…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions