India strike on Pakistan by...?
5%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20265%▼ 4
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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
The odds
2%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 6% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $803K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Korea, Supreme Leader of North Korea, Kim Jong Un
Search ›- Kim Jong Un’s new drone war machine | CNNKim Jong Un is calling for “absolute superiority” in drone warfare, putting AI at the center of his military ambitions, and unveiling a giant new stealth-style drone alongside his daughter. CNN’s Will Ripley examines the new weapons, what…
- Why was Kim Jong Un’s half-brother killed in an airport? | CNNKim Jong Un’s half-brother was killed with a nerve agent in Kuala Lumpur and his uncle was executed. Meanwhile in Asia looks at the Kim dynasty’s ruthless record, and why succession has always been dangerous. Olivia Rodrigo showed her…
- Kim Jong Un and North Korea Memes Flood X After Binance's $6.3B HackApparently, $6.36 billion buys plenty of laughs, particularly when the suspected beneficiaries reside in one of the world’s most heavily sanctioned countries. Following Binance’s Oct. 29 security catastrophe, social media users began…
- Kim Jong Un's display of North Korean strength as he shows off weaponsNorth Korea’s Kim Jong Un showed off various weapons on Thursday, as he called for a rapid expansion of the country’s drone technology, amid rising tensions with South Korea. According to the official Korean Central News Agency, Kim…
- Kim Jong Un's cyber army: How North Korea's hackers steal billions for regimeNorth Korea has built a billion-dollar cyberwar machine that allows it to target global financial institutions, steal cryptocurrency and generate revenue despite sweeping international sanctions.
- Kim Jong Un says North Korea’s nuclear status is irreversible, threatens South | DD NewsFeedback | Sunday, November 01, 2026 24/03/26 | 9:46 am | North Korea | North Korean leader Kim Jong Un | Russian President Vladimir Putin | South Korea | U.S. military action against Iran North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said his country…
- North Korea displays drones, missiles as Kim Jong-un urges AI weapons pushNational North Korea displays drones, missiles as Kim Jong-un urges AI weapons push Published : Oct. 30, 2026 - 13:26:46 North Korean leader Kim Jong-un urged the country’s scientists to accelerate development of military artificial…
- Rubio: Trump Open to Talks with Kim Jong-un, but No Talks Scheduled[International] : U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Saturday that President Donald Trump remains open to meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, but that no meeting has been scheduled. Speaking at a news conference on the…
- Binance says 90% of losses from $6.3bn hack covered as FBI says North Korea behind attackCryptocurrency exchange says withdrawals expected to resume on Sunday as FBI blames North Korean state-sponsored group TraderTraitor Cryptocurrency exchange Binance says it has replaced 90% of the amount stolen after a record $6.3bn hack…
- Kim Jong Un calls for rapid development of drone technology after North Korea launches ballistic missilesДолучайтеся до клубу УП! North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has called for the rapid development of drone technology in the country and watched tests of various weapons systems as tensions with South Korea continue to mount along the border…
- Why North Korea's 'elite' hackers are the prime suspect in major Binance hackTwo major blockchain analytics firms say they have robust intelligence pointing to a North Korean state-backed group as the likely culprits in the $6.3bn (£4.7bn) hack of Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange. The Lazarus…
- Kim Jong Un calls for ‘absolute superiority’ in drones at North Korean UAV expo | NK NewsNorth Korean leader Kim Jong Un attended an exhibition showcasing both new and old unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) on Thursday and called for “absolute superiority” in drone technology, describing it as an essential choice to meet the…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions