Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
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India strike on Pakistan by...?
The odds
5%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20265%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 10% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2026 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $91.5K | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | ▼ 4 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $352K |
| October 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $193K | |||
| November 14 | <1% | 0¢ | $105K | |||
| November 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $65.9K | |||
| December 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $208K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: India, Pakistan
Search ›- India U19 vs Pakistan U19 Live Streaming: When and where to watch ACC U19 Asia Cup 2026 clash; squads, points table and match detailsThe ACC Men's Under-19 Asia Cup is heating up as India prepares to clash with Pakistan. Both teams delivered strong performances in their opening games, with India overcoming Nepal and Pakistan defeating the UAE. Scheduled for the Al…
- IND vs PAK U-19 Asia Cup 2026: Fans react as India batters struggle batting first against PakistanIndia's batters struggled against Pakistan's bowlers, slipping to 128 for five after 30 overs. Arjun Rajput's unbeaten 79 was the lone bright spot for the Indian side. Supporters praised Pakistan's bowling attack online and noticed a…
- Conflict Between India and PakistanPublished by CFR's Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security Targeted killings against Hindus have become more frequent, motivating some to flee and protest government policies. In response to the uptick in violence, the Modi government has…
- How to watch India vs Pakistan in ACC U19 Asia Cup 2026: Live streaming, TV channels, match detailsThe match will be played at the Al Amerat Cricket Ground (Ministry Turf 2) in Oman, with play scheduled to begin at 10:30 a.m. IST. India and Pakistan both won their opening matches of the tournament and will look to remain unbeaten. India…
- The Latest Attack in Kashmir Escalates India-Pakistan TensionsThe latest attack on civilian tourists in Kashmir has been one of the worst attacks in the region since 2019, resulting in a tit-for-tat measure between India and Pakistan. Manjari Chatterjee Miller is a senior fellow for India, Pakistan…
- On India-Pakistan Conflict, The United States Needs to Tread CarefullyIndia’s aerial attacks on Pakistan mark a sharp escalation in tensions between the two nuclear-armed nations following an attack in Kashmir that killed twenty-six tourists and posing a dilemma for U.S. policymakers. Manjari Chatterjee…
- Pakistan beat India by three wickets in U-19 Asia CupUpdated - November 08, 2026 07:13 pm IST - Al Amerat (Oman) Pakistan defeated India by three wickets in their men's U-19 Asia Cup match in Oman on Sunday (November 8, 2026). India were bowled out for a modest 208 and Pakistan, after a…
- India vs Pakistan U19 Asia Cup 2026 Highlights: Hamza Zahoor Guides Pakistan to 3-Wicket Win Over IndiaPakistan have done a dramatic turnaround by beating arch-rivals India in the ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup 2026 on Sunday. In a Group A clash played at the Al Amerat Cricket Ground in Oman, Pakistan produced a brilliant batting performance lower…
- Hamza Zahoor marks Pakistan's stunning win over India with a note celebrationHamza Zahoor scored a match-winning hundred against India in the U19 Asia Cup on Sunday, November 8. He faced 108 balls for his century and celebrated animatedly. He then took out a pacer from his pocket, displaying it in front of the…
- China-Pakistan Military Exercise: Gen Ved Malik Flags Security Concerns for India | News18Former Army Chief Gen Ved Malik flags concerns over growing military coordination between China and Pakistan following 'Exercise Karakoram-2026' near the India-China-Pakistan tri-junction.Drawing parallels with the 2020 PLA exercises ahead…
- Watch: Pakistan hero Hamza Zahoor pulls off note celebration after India heistThe message on it was more about how he manifested that knock. Hamza wrote on the piece of paper that he will score a fifty during the game. "Tomorrrow match, 50 inshallah. Hamza Zahoor. I am the best," read the note. Hamza was also seen…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions