Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
October 31
2%
▼ 1
3¢
$33.33
$1.6K
December 31
20%
▼ 1
11¢
29¢
$3.45
$580
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Today's top news: Ukraine, Yemen, Lebanon, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Afghanistan@UNOCHA · 10 days agoUN relief chief calls for entry of vital aid as Oleshky ceasefire holds Elsewhere in Ukraine, the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) says that the UN and its humanitarian partners are responding to…
Somalia says it will not take sides in Ethiopia-Eritrea tensionsHorseed Media - Somalia News · 11 days agoSomalia’s President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has said his country will not take sides in disputes between Ethiopia and Eritrea, stressing that Mogadishu maintains relations with both governments. Speaking to Sky News on 30 October, Mr Hassan…
Ethiopia’s Russian fighter jets raise stakes in Eritrea standoffThe Africa Report · 12 days agoWe and our partners process data for the following purposes:Mandatory, Personalised advertising and content, advertising and content measurement, audience research and services development, Precise geolocation data, and identification…
Ethiopia Acquires 12 Advanced Russian Su-35 Fighter Jets Amid Rising Tensions with EritreaTuko.co.ke - Kenya news. · 11 days agoHarry Ivan Mboto is a Current Affairs and Politics Editor at TUKO.co.ke, covering political and world news. Mboto has five years of journalism experience and joined TUKO.co.ke in 2024 Ethiopia has received 12 Su-35 fighter jets from Russia…
Ethiopia acquires Russian fighter jets and air defence systems amid war in TigrayBBC News · 12 days agoEthiopia has received 12 Su-35 fighter jets from Russia, as fighting intensified in the northern Tigray region neighbouring Eritrea. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, who is attending the Russia-Africa summit in Moscow, described the acquisition…
Eritrea Travel Advice for AmericansThe Rio Times · 11 days agoLevel 2 is the second step of the State Department’s four-step advisory scale, below Level 3 (Reconsider Travel) and Level 4 (Do Not Travel). Himbol is the name of Eritrea’s state foreign currency exchange branches, and STEP is the Smart…
Eritrea’s Leader Joins Russia Africa SummitThe Rio Times · 11 days agoEritrea’s President Isaias Afwerki attended the third Russia-Africa summit in Moscow on 28 and 29 October 2026, weeks after the United States removed Eritrea’s ruling party and army from its sanctions list. The Kremlin’s published schedule…
UK Keeps Up Visa Pressure on EritreaThe Rio Times · 11 days agoERITREA · UK VISA POLICY The Home Office is the UK ministry for immigration and borders, led by Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood. The Foreign Office runs British diplomats and talks with foreign governments. A visa penalty is a rule that…
Putin urges Russia, Eritrea to boost trade and economic cooperationTASS · 10 days agoRussian-Eritrean relations are developing, the Russian president said - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business & EconomyInto section â - Military & Defense Military &…
Ethiopia’s Abiy and Eritrea’s Isaias to Attend Russia‑Africa Summit Amid Severed TiesKenya Today · 13 days agoEritrean President Isaias Afwerki and Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, whose countries have recently terminated diplomatic relations, are both slated to attend the Russia‑Africa Summit in Moscow this week. The diplomatic fallout began…
Ethiopia Drone Strike Hits Displaced CampThe Rio Times · 10 days agoDrones struck a camp for displaced people in Ethiopia’s Amhara region on Thursday 29 October 2026, and residents say at least 16 people died. A hospital source says 36 wounded people reached the nearest hospital, among them eight children…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions