Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 18, 2027 · $319 today · $5.5K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

5%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 5% 5¢ 6¢ $16.13 $5.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: France

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  • Hundreds arrested after police injured in France riotsFox News · 7 days agoFox News senior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports after Europe was rocked by another weekend of violent riots as hundreds of thousands took to the streets in France and Germany. Hundreds arrested after police injured in…
  • A Black man’s killing inflames debate over identity and racism in FranceThe Washington Post · 6 days agoThe Washington Post President Emmanuel Macron said the racially motivated rampage near Paris should be a “wake-up call” about escalating toxic rhetoric ahead of a national election.
  • France’s student protests continue as pupils blockade schools with shopping cartsNew York Post · 7 days agoFrench high school student protests resumed on Monday on a much smaller scale than ​in past weeks as pupils returned from a two-week break, with ‌youngsters trying to blockade a few high schools in Paris, Marseille and Rennes, French media…
  • Riots in France draw 70,000 amid police clashesFox News · 8 days agoFox News Riots in France draw 70,000 amid police clashes For the third weekend in a row, protests in France have gotten violent as 70,000 protestors hit the streets amid clashes with police.
  • Inside France’s Fiery Protests: ‘We Feel Completely Lost’Rolling Stone · 9 days agoBORDEAUX, FRANCE — France’s student-led protest movement, which generated shocking scenes of violence and destruction and at least partially inspired a wave of similar civil unrest in other parts of Europe, shows few signs of abating…
  • In final push, Ramaswamy raises specter of U.S. becoming ‘like France’ if Democrats winThe Washington Post · 7 days agoSWANTON, Ohio — In their final campaign push, some Republican candidates are warning that the United States could become “like France” if Democrats prevail in the midterms. America’s oldest ally spent much of October convulsing with…
  • Rioters clash with police as France faces third week of violent protestsFox News · 9 days agoFormer State Department senior advisor Christian Whiton discusses violent protests sweeping France, alleged ties between far-left groups and Islamists and Iran's latest threats against the U.S. Rioters clash with police as France faces…
  • France ProtestsPost Register · 6 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Students confront police during a protest against under-resourced schools in Paris, Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. There was a problem reporting this. We…
  • APTOPIX France ProtestsThe Herald Journal · 6 days agoThe Herald Journal - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Students confront police during a protest against under-resourced schools in Paris, Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. There was a problem reporting this…
  • Asylum seekers still being sent to France under ‘one in one out’ weeks after scheme endedthe Guardian · 9 days agoGuardian understands Home Office continues to detain dozens of people, with one group forcibly removed this week The Home Office is still putting asylum seekers on to planes to France weeks after the controversial scheme to remove them…
  • LIVE: Students protest in FranceDaily Gate City · 7 days agoDaily Gate City Live from Paris as French university and high school students attempt to blockade some high schools over poor school conditions and rising living costs.
  • Au revoir, FranceIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 8 days agoOkay, that finally settles it: France is finished. Get your croissants while they’re hot and before arson incinerates all those quaint but flammable boulangerie-pâtisseries. The nation is aflame with fringe fanaticism, as the past two…

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