Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 31
<1%
▲ 1
0¢
$289K
April 30
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$27.4K
June 30
<1%
0¢
$322K
December 31
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
$248K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Russia ready to explore CIS plus Iran format: MFAMehr News Agency · 37 h agoTEHRAN, Nov. 08 (MNA) – Moscow is prepared to explore the CIS plus Iran format together with partners interested in this initiative, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Pankin said in an interview with local Russian media. According…
Iranian lawmakers urge President Pezeshkian to nominate new intelligence ministerCrypto Briefing · 45 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
US offers $20m reward for info on Iran's nuclear programme24 News HD · 3 days agoWashington is offering a $20 million reward "and possible relocation" for information about Iran's nuclear program, the US military said Friday, as President Donald Trump reiterated Tehran wants to make a deal to end the war. A State…
US announces $20 million reward for intelligence on Iran's nuclear programmeMoneycontrol · 3 days agoThe US is offering a reward of up to $20 million, along with possible relocation, to anyone providing information about Iran's nuclear programme, its military said on Friday. The offer is being made under the State Department's Rewards for…
US offers $20 mn reward for info on 'Iran's nuclear program': CENTCOM@AlMonitor · 3 days agoWashington is offering a $20 million reward "and possible relocation" for information about Iran's nuclear program, the US military said Friday, as President Donald Trump reiterated Tehran wants to make a deal to end the war. A State…
US offers $20 million reward for information on Iran’s nuclear programmeBusinessLine · 3 days agoThe United States military announced on Friday that Washington is offering a USD 20 million reward “and possible relocation” for details concerning Iran’s nuclear programme, even as President Donald Trump asserted that Tehran is eager to…
US offers $20M reward for info on 'Iran's nuclear program': CENTCOMThe Daily Star · 3 days agoWashington is offering a $20 million reward "and possible relocation" for information about Iran's nuclear program, the US military said Friday, as President Donald Trump reiterated Tehran wants to make a deal to end the war. A State…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions