Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Mojtaba Khamenei
94%
▲ 2
94¢
94¢
$1.07
$7.2M
No Head of State
2%
2¢
2¢
$45.45
$1.2M
Alireza Arafi
2%
▼ 1
2¢
2¢
$41.67
$2.3M
Reza Pahlavi
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
$734K
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
1¢
1¢
$1M
Hassan Rouhani
<1%
0¢
0¢
$964K
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
<1%
0¢
0¢
$486K
Sadegh Larijani
<1%
0¢
0¢
$596K
Hassan Khomeini
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.5M
Maryam Rajavi
<1%
0¢
0¢
$917K
Abbas Araghchi
<1%
0¢
0¢
$855K
Ahmad Vahidi
<1%
0¢
0¢
$795K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
<1%
0¢
0¢
$938K
Hassan Shariatmadari
<1%
0¢
$3.2M
Massoud Rajavi
<1%
0¢
$441K
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
<1%
0¢
$3.7M
Reza Pirzadeh
<1%
0¢
$192K
Navid Shomali
<1%
0¢
$268K
Mustafa Hijri
<1%
0¢
$245K
Ali Motahari
<1%
0¢
$875K
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
<1%
0¢
$476K
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
<1%
0¢
$3.4M
Sadegh Mahsouli
<1%
0¢
$281K
Saeed Jalili
<1%
0¢
$43K
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
<1%
0¢
$1.1M
Mohammad Khatami
<1%
0¢
$5.2M
Mohsen Araki
<1%
0¢
$335K
Nasir Hosseini
<1%
0¢
$306K
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
<1%
0¢
$339K
Ali Asghar Hejazi
<1%
0¢
$398K
Mohammad Pakpour
<1%
0¢
Ali Larijani
<1%
0¢
$237K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei's Representative Wishes Indians A Happy DiwaliNDTV · 39 h agoDescribing the occasion as a "festival of light," he offered his congratulations and wished everyone a long and healthy life. Agra is home to the shrine of the renowned 'Shaheed-e-Salis,' who was martyred during the Mughal era. Thousands…
Trump's election rout won't change policy on Iran, warns Mojtaba KhameneiIndia Today · 6 days agoBut the electoral setback has done little to soften Tehran's position towards Washington. Iran's Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has warned that anyone expecting the Republican defeat to trigger a shift in US policy towards the Islamic…
IRGC issues stern warning following emergency meeting with Mojtaba KhameneiThe Business Standard · 5 days agoIntense tension has gripped the Middle East amid the possibility of another all-out conflict involving the United States and Israel. Tehran has issued a stern warning, stating that should such a war erupt, it would prove far more costly…
US midterm shift won’t end hostility toward Iran: Mojtaba KhameneiTürkiye Today · 6 days agoIran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said Wednesday that anyone expecting a change in U.S. policy toward Iran, through partisan shifts in Washington or concessions, is "seriously mistaken," hours after U.S. President Donald Trump's…
Trump’s Election Setback Will Not Alter US Policy on Iran, Says Mojtaba KhameneiThe CSR Journal · 5 days agoTrump's election setback will not change US policy on Iran, says Mojtaba Khamenei, amid rising tensions and Democratic gains in Congress. Trump’s Election Setback Will Not Alter US Policy on Iran, Says Mojtaba Khamenei US President Donald…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions