Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 13
<1%
0¢
March 16
<1%
0¢
March 31
<1%
0¢
$616K
April 30
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$613K
May 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$456K
June 19
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$58.7K
June 26
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$104K
June 30
<1%
0¢
$655K
July 15
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$1.2M
July 31
<1%
0¢
$1.9M
August 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$533K
September 30
<1%
0¢
0¢
$478K
October 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$164K
December 31
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
$831K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Mojtaba Khamenei Grants "Certain Powers" To Iran Government In Talks With USNDTV · 7 days agoIran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei granted "powers" to the government in its talks with the United States seeking to end the Middle East war Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei granted "powers" to the government in its talks with…
Touch Iran and face retaliation: Mojtaba Khamenei warns US, Israelmadhyamamonline.com · 9 days agoTehran: Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has warned the United States and Israel against launching another round of military action, while directing the country’s top military commanders to prepare for an immediate and far-reaching…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions