Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
April 30
<1%
0¢
$64.6K
May 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$12.8K
June 30
<1%
0¢
$12.5K
December 31
7%
▲ 1
6¢
8¢
$12.50
$12K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Baby among four killed in bomb attack in western Colombia, official saysBBC News · 8 days agoSeveral buildings were damaged by the explosion, including a pharmacy and a hospital At least four people were killed when a lorry laden with explosives detonated in Tolima province, western Colombia, on Sunday, a local official has said…
Colombia's congress passes bill replacing former president's 'total peace' approachCentral Oregon Daily · 6 days agoColombian President Abelardo De La Espriella gestures as he delivers a speech during a military and police event aimed at strengthening security operations against criminal organizations along the border with Venezuela, in Cucuta…
Colombia's Congress Tightens Terms for Armed Group Members — TimesLIVEUA.NEWS · 6 days agoColombia's Congress has approved President Abelardo de la Espriella's bill, which tightens the conditions for members of illegal armed groups who voluntarily surrender to the authorities. The document moves away from the “total peace”…
Colombia Watchdog Charges Daniel QuinteroThe Rio Times · 6 days agoColombia’s disciplinary watchdog has charged former health superintendent Daniel Quintero over his alleged role in the 2026 election. He can still answer the charge. Colombia’s Procuraduría General de la Nación has filed disciplinary…
Colombia Races to Pass Armed Groups LawThe Rio Times · 6 days agoColombia’s Congress has until Wednesday to pass a bill for armed groups to surrender. It would replace the Total Peace talks. Colombia’s Congress is racing to pass the ley de sometimiento, or surrender law, before Wednesday, 4 November…
Cabello: Venezuela Taking Border Precautions Amid Violence in ColombiaOrinoco Tribune · 6 days agoCaracas (OrinocoTribune.com)—On Monday, Venezuelan Interior Minister and Secretary General of the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) Diosdado Cabello said that the Bolivarian National Armed Force (FANB), police forces, and border…
The 2027 Minimum Wage Battle in Colombia Is Set to Kick OffT@co1ombia · 8 days agoThe upcoming negotiation cycle opens not only with an accelerated timeline, but also with a major structural evolution: for the first time, domestic workers will be formally included in the tripartite bargaining table. While the Labor…
Colombian Merchants Call for the Elimination of the 40% Tariff on Imported ClothingC@co1ombia · 8 days agoIn recent hours, the National Federation of Merchants of Colombia (Fenalco) asked the government of President Abelardo de la Espriella to establish more balanced competitive conditions vis-a-vis international platforms such as Temu and…
Venezuela Silent on Rebel Camp Strike ClaimThe Rio Times · 9 days agoA rebel camp strike by Venezuela’s army is alleged to have hit Colombian guerrillas in the border state of Apure on Friday 30 October 2026. Neither government has confirmed it, and the claim rests on Fundaredes, a Venezuelan human rights…
Colombia's 'El Tigre' takes fight to cartels as Trump alliance takes shapeFox News · 11 days agoKnown by his nickname 'El Tigre,' the president has intensified his offensive against armed groups. (COLOMBIAN GOVERNMENT TV via Reuters.) President Abelardo de la Espriella means business when it comes to his war against the cartels…
Colombia proposes $179.58 billion 2027 budget to CongressMarketScreener · 10 days agoThe Colombian government on Wednesday submitted a 2027 expenditure budget bill totaling 575.7 trillion pesos to Congress, just two weeks before President Gustavo Petro leaves office. The proposal... Colombia proposes $179.58 billion 2027…
China in Latin America: November 2025Council on Foreign Relations · 10 days agoIn November, China took a leading role at the thirtieth United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP30) in Brazil, as it sought to deepen diplomatic ties with countries in the region. At the same time, China positioned itself against the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions