Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 24, 2027 · $12.5K today · $1.4M traded · $144K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

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The odds

44%Javier Milei
  • Javier Milei44%
  • Axel Kicillof33%
  • Sergio Massa15%▼ 1
  • Patricia Bullrich4%
  • Cristina Fernández de Kirchner2%
  • Myriam Bregman1%
  • Daniel Hadad1%
  • Lionel Messi1%
  • Dante Gebel1%
  • Mauricio Macri<1%
  • Juan Schiaretti<1%
  • Karina Milei<1%
9 more
  • Juan Grabois<1%
  • Esteban Bullrich<1%
  • Facundo Manes<1%
  • Victoria Villarruel<1%
  • Nicolás del Caño<1%
  • Alberto Fernández<1%
  • Guillermo Moreno<1%
  • Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro<1%
  • Máximo Kirchner<1%

How the odds have moved

Javier Milei: 47% on Oct 20, 44% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Javier Milei 44% 44¢ 45¢ $2.22 $304K
Axel Kicillof 33% 33¢ 34¢ $2.94 $169K
Sergio Massa 15% ▼ 1 15¢ 15¢ $6.71 $135K
Patricia Bullrich 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 $58.3K
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 2% 1¢ 2¢ $47.62 $47.1K
Myriam Bregman 1% 1¢ 2¢ $62.50 $91.2K
Daniel Hadad 1% 1¢ 1¢ $49K
Lionel Messi 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $47.8K
Dante Gebel 1% 0¢ 1¢ $71.7K
Mauricio Macri <1% 1¢ $69.1K
Juan Schiaretti <1% 0¢ 0¢ $57.2K
Karina Milei <1% 0¢ 0¢ $19.5K
Juan Grabois <1% 0¢ 0¢ $57.7K
Esteban Bullrich <1% 0¢ 0¢ $52K
Facundo Manes <1% 0¢ 0¢ $54.8K
Victoria Villarruel <1% 0¢ 0¢ $58.1K
Nicolás del Caño <1% 0¢ 0¢ $18.7K
Alberto Fernández <1% 0¢ 0¢ $12.6K
Guillermo Moreno <1% 0¢ $27.4K
Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro <1% 0¢ $15.7K
Máximo Kirchner <1% 0¢ $24.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Argentina Presidential, Javier Milei, Axel Kicillof

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  • “Right-wing politics and anti-politics. From Carlos Menem to Javier Milei”CLACSO · 7 days agoCLACSO - Common knowledge: technologies, artificial intelligence, open science and territorial knowledge - Democracies in dispute: horizons, resistances and the construction of alternatives from the public and the common - Social right to…
  • Argentina’s Kirchner is betting on Trump’s defeat — and her own comebackThe Washington Post · 8 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Cristina Fernández de…
  • This Week’s Under-reported News Summary – Nov. 4, 2026BTL · 5 days agoArgentineans fight president's expanded foreign ownership of land, natural resources; Trump's 62-mile border wall construction accused of threatening tribal sovereignty; Democratic socialist Mayor Katie Wilson lacks legislative majority to…
  • 2026 U.S. Midterms Monitoring: Latin American Leaders' Reactions to the Election ResultsDDIA · 5 days agoBy noon Eastern Time on November 4, only Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum and Colombia's Former President Gustavo Petro seem to weigh in on the U.S. midterms. Their reactions contrasted with the apparent silence of right-leaning…
  • Video. Spain: Madrid hosts 30th Ibero-American Summit with 22-nation bloceuronews · 5 days agoGo beyond the headlines with Euronews EU.XL — a deep dive into the EU’s key policies and decisions through videos, explainers, polls, and a chatbot answering your questions anytime and in your language Top News Stories Today World leaders…
  • Argentina's Milei pitches a regulation-free AI haven at the end of the worldSan Mateo Daily Journal · 7 days agoArgentina's President Javier Milei delivers a speech at the New Economy Forum in Madrid Oct. 21. As residents and policymakers in the United States and Europe fight the facilities that power artificial intelligence, President Javier Milei…
  • SPAIN-ARGENTINA/San Mateo Daily Journal · 7 days agoSan Mateo Daily Journal Argentina's President Javier Milei delivers a speech at the New Economy Forum in Madrid Oct. 21. Argentina's Milei pitches a regulation-free AI haven at the end of the world Data centers are facing a growing…
  • Democratic gains in U.S. Congress unsettle Latin America’s Trump-aligned leadersCHOSUNBIZ · 5 days agoAs the Democratic Party won majorities in both the House and Senate in the U.S. midterm elections, Latin America is watching to see whether U.S. foreign policy will change. One of the places with the most interest is Argentina. President…
  • King and Sánchez push for closer EU and Latin America tiesRUSSPAIN.com · 5 days agoRUSSPAIN.com Argentina’s Javier Milei will miss the Ibero-American summit’s opening ceremony and the king’s gala dinner He is due to meet Vox leader Santiago Abascal before taking part in Thursday’s plenary session The announcement…
  • Why Milei’s Chainsaw Revolution Required Restraintthedailyeconomy.org · 7 days agoCritics are divided as Javier Milei takes gradual, constrained steps toward the radical free market he campaigned on. In December 2023, as the sound of a chainsaw echoed through Buenos Aires, Javier Milei swept into the Casa Rosada, and…
  • Zelensky in Spain for talks with world leadersKMVU FOX 26 Medford · 5 days agoUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will be in Madrid as Latin American leaders take part in a summit Spain's Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, in power since 2018, trails in most polls to the main conservative Popular Party…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions