Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
June 30, 2026
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$51.2K
December 31, 2026
6%
▼ 1
3¢
9¢
$10.99
$7.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Sánchez rejects links to six arrested in Koldo caseRUSSPAIN.com · 4 days agoInvestigators searched a home in Córdoba during the UCO’s operation in a new, confidential branch of the Koldo case. The coordinated operation on 5 November involved searches in Valencia and Madrid, as well as Córdoba and Seville, and six…
Feijóo declines to name a former PM for a ministerial postRUSSPAIN.com · 5 days agoBefore Susanna Griso put the hypothetical to him, the Partido Popular leader said he already had several people in mind for the Transport portfolio. The exchange came during an Antena 3 interview covering the 29 November general election…
Spain's rail confidence crisis puts Óscar Puente under pressureRUSSPAIN.com · 9 days agoSpain's high-speed network stretches 3,924 kilometres and has cost more than €60 billion. The scale lends weight to Pedro Sánchez's assessment that public confidence in the system has been broken, as Enric Juliana argues in his analysis of…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions