Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes May 1, 2027 · $10.8K today · $39K traded · $11.6K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

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The odds

7%Vladan Đokić
  • Vladan Đokić7%▼ 1
  • Miloš Vučević2%▲ 1
  • Ana Brnabić1%
  • Ivica Dačić<1%
  • Đuro Macut<1%
  • Vladan Petrov<1%
  • Aleksandar Vučić<1%
  • Vojislav Šešelj<1%
  • Zdravko Ponoš<1%
  • Savo Manojlović<1%
  • Miloš Jovanović<1%
  • Miroslav Aleksić<1%
5 more
  • Srđan Milivojević<1%
  • Branimir Nestorović<1%
  • Dragan Đilas<1%
  • Biljana Đorđević<1%
  • Miloš Parandilović<1%

How the odds have moved

Vladan Đokić: 13% on Oct 20, 7% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 11 PM ETVladan Đokić: 13% → 18%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Vladan Đokić 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 $144K
Miloš Vučević 2% ▲ 1 0¢ 3¢ $38.46 $63.9K
Ana Brnabić 1% 0¢ 1¢ $71.43 $36K
Ivica Dačić <1% 0¢ 0¢ $18.6K
Đuro Macut <1% 0¢ 0¢ $20.3K
Vladan Petrov <1% 0¢ 0¢ $16K
Aleksandar Vučić <1% 0¢ 0¢ $11.9K
Vojislav Šešelj <1% 0¢ 0¢ $8K
Zdravko Ponoš <1% 0¢ 0¢ $8.7K
Savo Manojlović <1% 0¢ 0¢ $9K
Miloš Jovanović <1% 0¢ 0¢ $8.1K
Miroslav Aleksić <1% 0¢ 0¢ $7.8K
Srđan Milivojević <1% 0¢ 0¢ $7.4K
Branimir Nestorović <1% 0¢ $8.2K
Dragan Đilas <1% 0¢ $7.7K
Biljana Đorđević <1% 0¢ $6.8K
Miloš Parandilović <1% 0¢ $7.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Serbia Presidential, Vladan Đokić, Miloš Vučević

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  • Serbia's Parliament to meet on Nov. 17 after student-led movement won election over strongman VucicClinton Herald · 39 h agoThe first session of Serbia’s new Parliament, which will be dominated by a student-led movement following its election triumph last month, will be held on Nov. 17. The outgoing parliament speaker, Ana Brnabic, scheduled the inaugural…
  • Serbia's new parliament to hold its first session on November 17@ukrinform · 23 h agoThe current Speaker of Parliament, Ana Brnabić, scheduled the first session of the new legislature after Serbia's Election Commission announced the final results of the October 25 vote last week. According to the results, the Student List…
  • Vucic’s Tipsy Night Out Sparks a Wave of Online MockeryBGNES: Breaking News · 2 days agoA video of former Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić enjoying an evening with a group of political allies at Belgrade's Savanova restaurant has gone viral on social media. Among those attending the informal gathering were Informer…
  • Putin signs order placing Japan tobacco producer's Russian assets under temporary administrationBastillepost 巴士的報 · 4 days agoRussian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree on Thursday placing Russian assets of Japan Tobacco International (JTI) under temporary administration. According to the decree, equity stakes linked to JTI's production operations in Russia…
  • Serbia Just Elected The World's Highly Educated Parliament in the WorldEupravozato · 6 days agoAn astrophysicist who studies galaxy evolution. An electrical engineer who has helped design robots. An organic chemist who, during the pandemic, worked on COVID-19 drugs. An education researcher, a sociologist, several political…
  • Serbia: REM Council bans Informer from broadcasting "Prve info" for seven daysvijesti.me · 6 days agoThe REM Serbia Council unanimously decided to impose a seven-day ban on Informer Television from broadcasting a format in which a particularly serious violation of the law was committed. This is the show "Prve info" in which the host of…
  • When can we expect the announcement of local elections throughout SerbiaVreme · 7 days agoThe convincing victory of the Student List in the parliamentary elections opened up the question of the change of government of the Serbian Progressive Party at the local level as well. While some analysts expect a wave of extraordinary…
  • The big clean up: Serbia after the electionCafé Europa · 6 days agoHello from Belgrade, where the country is in the process of cleaning house after last weekend’s historic election. I lose a couple of followers every time I do another Balkan story, which I’m cool with, but if you appreciate the coverage…
  • SNS moves closer to sitting out presidential electionEuropean Western Balkans · 8 days agoBELGRADE – Following its defeat in the snap parliamentary election on 25 October, the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) is moving closer to a decision not to contest the upcoming presidential election. Former Serbian President and SNS member…
  • Spyware Scandal Shadows Serbia’s Election DefeatVARINDIA · 8 days agovarindia MONDAY, 2 NOVEMBER 2026 Serbia has witnessed a political earthquake as longtime leader Aleksandar Vučić conceded defeat in the October 25 parliamentary elections. His Serbian Progressive Party lost to a student-led opposition…
  • Vucic Hosts Orban at His Father's House Near BelgradeSrpske Novine · 9 days agoThe former Hungarian prime minister visited Vucic, and the meeting was posted as an Instagram video. Sources differ on whose house it was, and nothing is known about their talks. Aleksandar Vucic hosted former Hungarian prime minister…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions