US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
34%December 31
- October 31<1%
- November 3026%▼ 11
- December 3134%▼ 7
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Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
The odds
18%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 24% on Oct 20, 18% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $33.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Apple, CXMT
Search ›- Apple Completes the Set: Every Magnificent Seven Stock Opts Out of OKX-ICE VenueEvery member of Wall Street’s “Magnificent Seven” now wants its stock kept off OKX and ICE’s planned tokenized stock venue. Apple and Meta Platforms are among 11 companies added to the list of objecting issuers in an updated notice from…
- The Duo apps are coming, says AppleThe early iPhone Duo reviews were a bit hard on Apple’s new foldable for the lack of Duo-optimized apps available at the time of launch. But Apple says things are changing quickly on the software front. The company on Friday announced…
- Apple Music Classical has a new logo, too.The Verge Following the Apple Music logo refresh, Apple has given Apple Music Classical an updated look, too. It’s now black-and-white instead of reddish-pink and white. Posts from this author will be added to your daily email digest and…
- Hear Fiona Apple and the Bolt Cutters Cover Mother Earth’s ‘Revolution’Fiona Apple and the Bolt Cutters have covered Mother Earth’s 'Revolution' for an album benefiting Doctors Without Borders. Fiona Apple and the Bolt Cutters have covered Mother Earth’s “Revolution.” The song is set to appear on the Dougie…
- Executive Turntable: Apple Music Names Brian Pesaturo Head of Label RelationsPlus: SeatGeek's new chief business officer and more music industry hires and promotions. Brian Pesaturo was named head of label relations at Apple Music. In the role, he will direct and manage label relationships for Apple Music, iTunes…
- Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, SpaceX, Netflix, Apple, TripAdvisor, Molson Coors & moreHere are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Friday.
- The iPhone Duo has more than 100,000 optimized apps, Apple saysApple's iPhone Duo has been officially on sale for two weeks, and the company said today that the App Store now has over 100,000 apps that are built for the foldable. "It's been wonderful to see how quickly developers have embraced iPhone…
- Apple’s secret list of banned autocomplete phrases include ‘Dictator Trump,’ ‘Sleepy Joe’Apple has an undisclosed multilingual gray list of tens of thousands of words and phrases that its iOS keyboard will not autocomplete or swipe-type, a researcher said Friday. The list is not a ban. iPhone users can still type what they…
- Apple TV Renews ‘Knife Edge: Chasing Michelin Stars’ for Season 3The high-stakes culinary documentary, which follows chefs around the globe as they attempt accolades from the Michelin Guide, is produced by Gordon Ramsay and hosted by Jesse Burgess. As the Michelin Guide continues to expand to new…
- Chinese Memory Chip Manufacturer CXMT Struggles In Q3 As Share Drops To 9% Amidst Aggressive Ramp From Samsung, Says ResearchChinese memory manufacturer CXMT's market share in the DRAM memory chip industry is coming under pressure as behemoth Samsung scales its production and the market starts to focus on high bandwidth memory (HBM) chips. The latest statistics…
- Tim Robbins & Giancarlo Esposito Join Apple's Monsterverse SeriesTim Robbins (Silo, Mystic River) and Giancarlo Esposito (Breaking Bad, Westworld) will guest star in Apple TV‘s upcoming series from Legendary’s Monsterverse, centered on Young Lee Shaw. They join series lead and executive producer Wyatt…
Related markets
All trade & tariffs ›US tariff revenue for 2026
56%Above $300 billion
$60$350
50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? (Before Jan 2, 2027)
24%chance
US trade deficit for 2026?
181.2median
35.1200
Median 181.2Middle half 171.8 – 190.6
US trade deficit for 2032
50%Above $1.2 trillion
$400$1,300
US trade deficit for 2031
$1,177median
$400$1,300
Median $1,177
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions