The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
11%
10¢
12¢
$8.70
$134K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Brother of former Hungarian PM Viktor Orban is arrested for human traffickingDaily Mail · 13 h agoThe brother of former Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban was arrested on Monday for human trafficking, a press release revealed today. Hungary's leader, Peter Magyar, shared the news on Facebook, writing: 'According to press reports…
Hungary opens files: Was Viktor Orbán also a State Security agent?Vox News · 3 days agoFormer Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has revealed that the secret services of the communist regime in Hungary tried to recruit him as an informant while he was doing his mandatory military service. His statement has brought the…
Viktor Orbán’s right-hand man summoned to Parliament’s executive abuse investigationDailyNewsHungary · 4 days agoThe committee, chaired by Mi Hazánk party leader László Toroczkai, decided on Thursday to compel several individuals to provide oral or written testimony. Orbán’s minister, Rogán is expected to answer questions in person, alongside former…
How academic freedom is changing around the world — by the numbers@nature · 22 h agoMiryam Naddaf is a reporter for Nature in London. University staff and students call for better funding for French education at a protest in Lyons.Credit: Antoine Boureau/Hans Lucas/AFP/Getty Academic freedom is deteriorating globally…
Hungarian authorities reportedly detain former PM Orbán’s brotherAzernews.Az · 13 h agoThe brother of former Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, Áron Orbán, has reportedly been detained. Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar announced this in a post on his X account. "Viktor Orbán has confirmed that the investigating…
High-Profile Smuggling Raids in Hungary Point to Former PM's BrotherOCCRP · 13 h agoPolice arrested multiple suspects Monday in an alleged visa fraud operation, with local media and politicians quickly linking the sweep to Áron Orbán. Hungarian authorities arrested multiple suspects in coordinated human smuggling raids on…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions