Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 31
<1%
0¢
$907K
April 30
<1%
0¢
$75.9K
December 31
2%
2¢
3¢
$40.00
$2.1M
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Israeli Navy conducts drill exercise near Gaza border, IDF announcesNew York Post · 7 days ago(Nov. 3, 2026 / JNS) The Israel Defense Forces on Monday night announced an Israeli Navy exercise in the Zikim Beach area, located near the Gaza border. The exercise will begin on Tuesday morning and is set to conclude at midday on…
Netanyahu faces coalition showdown as rivals maneuver to form Israel's next governmentFox News · 6 days agoFox News senior White House correspondent Jacqui Heinrich joins ‘America Reports’ to report on President Donald Trump’s announcement that the U.S. will halt aid to Israel at the end of the year and his closing push as midterm voting gets…
Ending US Aid to Israel Is Netanyahu’s Trump Card Against CriticsNewsweek · 6 days agoRevenge of the Climate Heretics Nov 04, 2026 at 05:00 AM EST Deputy Editor, National Security and Foreign Policy President Donald Trump's stated decision to halt annual payments of nearly $4 billion to Israel may ultimately prove…
Israel’s election commission rejects Netanyahu claims of voting fraudthe Guardian · 6 days agoMove comes after attorney general blocked Shin Bet call to interrogate politicians from Palestinian-led parties Israel’s election commission on Wednesday confirmed the final results of the 27 October vote that stripped Benjamin Netanyahu’s…
israel-election-netanyahu-gaza-mideast-iran-war: Latest Updates | AudacyAudacy · 6 days agoisrael-election-netanyahu-gaza-mideast-iran-war: Latest Updates Audacy Ask your smart speaker to The Brian Kilmeade Show Markley, van Camp and Robbins Fox Across America with Jimmy Failla Coast to Coast AM 101.5 FM K-DAWN: On-demand Asian…
Israeli officials say elections will stand after Netanyahu claimed Arabs stole votePOLITICO · 8 days agoNetanyahu has cast doubt on the validity of the election in which his coalition lost its majority. Police stand watch as supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu counter-protest against a rally calling for the formation of a…
Israel Palestinians GazaPost Register · 6 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Palestinians receive food packages distributed by the World Food Programme in Gaza City on Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026. There was a problem reporting…
Israeli strikes in Gaza kill eight including child, hospitals sayBBC News · 9 days agoMourners attend the funeral of five Palestinians, who were killed in an Israeli strike. Israeli strikes in Gaza have killed at least eight people, including a child, according to hospitals, despite a year-old ceasefire. In Gaza City to the…
APTOPIX Israel Palestinians GazaThe Herald Journal · 7 days agoThe Herald Journal - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Young Palestinian men chop wood to sell at the Bureij refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. There was a problem…
Israeli atrocities continue in GazaOman Observer · 7 days agoOman Observer GAZA: Israeli air strikes and gunfire killed five people across the Gaza Strip, its civil defence agency reported, with the Israeli army saying it had targeted "several terrorists" in the devastated Palestinian territory…
US, Israel plan response to Hezbollah entryJFeed · 7 days agoWashington and Jerusalem coordinate sharp warnings to Lebanon: any Hezbollah participation in regional conflict with Iran will trigger massive Israeli and American retaliation, including possible siege of southern Lebanon The United States…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions