Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ United Kingdom
>99%
▲ 52
100¢
100¢
$35.2K
✓ France
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$46.5K
✓ China
>99%
100¢
100¢
$122K
✓ Turkey
>99%
100¢
100¢
$52.3K
✓ Switzerland
>99%
100¢
100¢
$54.3K
✓ Ireland
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$12.2K
Portugal
11%
3¢
20¢
$5.13
$152
South Korea
8%
▲ 1
6¢
10¢
$10.00
$17.5K
Oman
6%
3¢
10¢
$10.31
$3.6K
Israel
6%
5¢
7¢
$14.29
$33.8K
Germany
6%
▲ 2
3¢
8¢
$12.50
$22.5K
Ukraine
4%
▲ 1
1¢
7¢
$13.51
$8.4K
Saudi Arabia
4%
▼ 1
3¢
5¢
$20.00
$2K
Canada
4%
2¢
6¢
$17.24
$4.9K
Italy
4%
3¢
5¢
$20.41
$31.3K
India
4%
3¢
4¢
$22.73
$17.1K
Syria
4%
1¢
6¢
$15.63
$2K
Russia
3%
2¢
5¢
$18.87
$13.5K
Japan
3%
1¢
6¢
$17.54
$26.9K
Taiwan
3%
3¢
3¢
$32.26
$88.6K
Belarus
3%
2¢
4¢
$28.57
$5.3K
North Korea
3%
2¢
3¢
$31.25
$49.1K
Venezuela
2%
2¢
3¢
$34.48
$474
Mexico
2%
2¢
3¢
$35.71
$6.7K
Pakistan
2%
2¢
3¢
$37.04
$9.4K
Lebanon
1%
0¢
2¢
$50.00
$32.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Sam Altman makes surprise South Korea visit as OpenAI builds on chip partnershipsCNBC · 8 days agoOpenAI CEO Sam Altman made an unannounced visit to South Korea over the weekend, meeting with Samsung executives and reportedly holding talks with SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won, building on existing partnerships with the country's leading…
South Korea Koreas TensionsChronicle Online · 6 days agochronicleonline.com A TV screen shows a reporting of North Korea launched multiple missiles toward the sea with file footage during a news program at the Seoul Railway Station in Seoul, South Korea, Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026. North Korea…
South Korea TurkeyGazetteXtra · 7 days agoGazetteXtra Taekwondo members of South Korean army perform during the welcoming ceremony for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan at the presidential Blue House in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Nov.3, 2026. Houseman gets City Hall…
South Korea Jungheinrich Sales SubsidiaryPost Register · 6 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) In this image released on Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026, Nadine Despineux, Chief Sales Officer at Jungheinrich, third from left, attends the official…
South Korea considers government-wide cybersecurity bodyTelecompaper · 6 days agoSouth Korean President Lee Jae Myung has called for the establishment of a "powerful, government-wide body" to coordinate cybersecurity across the public and private sectors, as the country seeks to strengthen its defences against…
South Korean Shares End HigherTradingView · 6 days agoTradingView South Korean Shares End Higher The benchmark KOSPI rose 0.62% to close at 5,683 on Wednesday, rebounding from earlier losses as investors assessed the implications of Democrats securing control of both chambers of Congress in…
Effectiveness of labor cooperation with South Koreavietnam.vn · 6 days agoAs one of the 16 provinces and cities (after mergers) that signed cooperation agreements with localities in South Korea, Ca Mau province has so far signed 10 cooperation agreements, gradually expanding the labor market, contributing to job…
South Korea, Turkey to cooperate in nuclear, defence, infrastructureThe Standard 英文虎報 · 6 days agoSouth Korean President Lee Jae Myung and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan agreed at a summit on Tuesday to expand cooperation in nuclear energy and defence, including on one of Turkey's biggest power projects, Lee said. The leaders also…
Sartori Sells in South Korea with Distribution PartnershipMadison's Country Q106 · 6 days agoCan you imagine — ordering Plymouth-made Sartori Cheese at midnight, and it’s on your doorstep by 7:00 a.m. — and you live in South Korea? It’s happening as Sartori Cheese expands its global footprint through a new international…
South Korea stages naval drills to strengthen maritime readinessSyrian Arab News Agency (SANA) · 6 days agoSeoul, Nov. 4 (SANA) South Korea’s Navy is conducting large-scale maritime exercises off the country’s eastern, western and southern coasts as part of a six-day training operation aimed at strengthening operational capabilities and…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions