The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 31
<1%
0¢
$364K
April 30
<1%
0¢
$185K
June 30
<1%
0¢
$105K
August 31
<1%
0¢
$116K
September 30
<1%
0¢
$162K
December 31
7%
▲ 3
6¢
8¢
$12.50
$246K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Israeli Navy conducts drill exercise near Gaza border, IDF announcesNew York Post · 6 days ago(Nov. 3, 2026 / JNS) The Israel Defense Forces on Monday night announced an Israeli Navy exercise in the Zikim Beach area, located near the Gaza border. The exercise will begin on Tuesday morning and is set to conclude at midday on…
Israeli officials say elections will stand after Netanyahu claimed Arabs stole votePOLITICO · 7 days agoNetanyahu has cast doubt on the validity of the election in which his coalition lost its majority. Police stand watch as supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu counter-protest against a rally calling for the formation of a…
Israeli strikes in Gaza kill eight including child, hospitals sayBBC News · 8 days agoMourners attend the funeral of five Palestinians, who were killed in an Israeli strike. Israeli strikes in Gaza have killed at least eight people, including a child, according to hospitals, despite a year-old ceasefire. In Gaza City to the…
Israel Palestinians GazaWV News · 7 days agoWV News Displaced Palestinian children play at a tent camp in the Bureij refugee camp, central Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or…
APTOPIX Israel Palestinians GazaThe Batesville Daily Guard · 6 days agoThe Batesville Daily Guard Young Palestinian men chop wood to sell at the Bureij refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or…
Israeli atrocities continue in GazaOman Observer · 6 days agoOman Observer GAZA: Israeli air strikes and gunfire killed five people across the Gaza Strip, its civil defence agency reported, with the Israeli army saying it had targeted "several terrorists" in the devastated Palestinian territory…
Israeli Navy launches drill near Gaza borderIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 6 days agoThe Israel Defense Forces on Monday night announced an Israeli Navy exercise in the Zikim Beach area, located near the Gaza border. The exercise will begin on Tuesday morning and is set to conclude at midday on Wednesday. Heavy movement of…
Thousands rally in Israel calling for Jewish-Arab coalition to oust NetanyahuBBC · 9 days agoIsraeli activists rallied in Tel Aviv last night, calling on Gadi Eisenkot, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s main political rival, to work with Arab parties to form a government. Results from the ... Use BBC.com or the new BBC App to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions