No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera
68%
66¢
70¢
$1.43
$21.3K
Alfonso Sánchez García
6%
1¢
11¢
$9.52
$31.8K
Floria María Hernández Hernández
2%
1¢
3¢
$38.46
$3.2K
Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca
1%
0¢
2¢
$41.67
$3.9K
Miriam Martínez Sánchez
1%
0¢
2¢
$50.00
$2.7K
Josefina Rodríguez Zamora
1%
0¢
2¢
$55.56
$2.7K
Adriana Dávila Fernández
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$3.8K
Irma Yordana Garay Loredo
1%
0¢
1¢
$3.6K
Danae Figueroa
<1%
0¢
0¢
$7K
Concepción Sánchez González
<1%
0¢
1¢
$4.6K
Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández
<1%
0¢
0¢
$3K
Raymundo Vázquez Conchas
<1%
0¢
0¢
$836
Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.4K
Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.7K
Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora
<1%
0¢
0¢
$670
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tlaxcala Governor, Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera, Alfonso Sánchez García
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions