Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 6, 2027 · $64.8K traded · $6K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

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The odds

37%Adrián de la Garza Santos
  • Adrián de la Garza Santos37%▼ 2
  • Mariana Rodríguez Cantú20%
  • Clara Luz Flores Carrales20%
  • Raúl Lozano Caballero7%
  • Fernando Margáin Berlanga7%
  • Judith Díaz Delgado6%
  • Félix Arratia Cruz6%
  • Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla5%
  • Carlos de la Fuente Flores5%
  • Jesús Alberto Elizondo5%
  • Miguel Flores Serna4%
  • Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas4%
9 more
  • Waldo Fernández González4%
  • Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez3%
  • Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo3%
  • Arturo Salinas Garza2%
  • Andrés Mijes Llovera2%▲ 1
  • Martha Herrera González2%
  • Héctor García García1%
  • Daniel Carrillo Martínez<1%
  • Annia Gómez Cárdenas<1%

How the odds have moved

Adrián de la Garza Santos: 23% on Oct 20, 37% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 PM ETAdrián de la Garza Santos: 34% → 40%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Adrián de la Garza Santos 37% ▼ 2 34¢ 39¢ $2.56 $14.3K
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 20% 16¢ 24¢ $4.10 $18.5K
Clara Luz Flores Carrales 20% 11¢ 29¢ $3.46 $6K
Raúl Lozano Caballero 7% 1¢ 13¢ $7.75 $532
Fernando Margáin Berlanga 7% 1¢ 12¢ $8.26 $588
Judith Díaz Delgado 6% 1¢ 12¢ $8.13 $1K
Félix Arratia Cruz 6% 1¢ 12¢ $8.62 $548
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla 5% 1¢ 10¢ $10.53 $800
Carlos de la Fuente Flores 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.49 $460
Jesús Alberto Elizondo 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.63 $588
Miguel Flores Serna 4% 1¢ 8¢ $13.33 $766
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 $4K
Waldo Fernández González 4% 1¢ 7¢ $15.38 $1.4K
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez 3% 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 $672
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 3% 1¢ 5¢ $18.87 $3.7K
Arturo Salinas Garza 2% 1¢ 4¢ $22.73 $927
Andrés Mijes Llovera 2% ▲ 1 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 $1.9K
Martha Herrera González 2% 0¢ 3¢ $33.33 $782
Héctor García García 1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.7K
Daniel Carrillo Martínez <1% 0¢ 0¢ $5.2K
Annia Gómez Cárdenas <1% 0¢ 0¢ $428

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nuevo León Governor, Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, Clara Luz Flores Carrales

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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