Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 6, 2027 · $99.8K traded · $18.8K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

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The odds

63%Beatriz Mojica Morga
  • Beatriz Mojica Morga63%▲ 1
  • Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña14%▼ 8
  • Manuel Añorve Baños6%▼ 1
  • Genaro Vázquez Flores5%
  • Esthela Damián Peralta3%
  • Gustavo Alarcón Herrera1%
  • Mario Moreno Arcos1%
  • Rubén Cayetano García1%
  • Evodio Velázquez Aguirre1%
  • Héctor Astudillo Flores1%
  • Karen Castrejón Trujillo1%
  • Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez1%
16 more
  • Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz1%
  • Guadalupe Eguiluz<1%
  • Carlos Reyes Torres<1%
  • Javier Saldaña Almazán<1%
  • Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros<1%
  • Rogelio Ortega Martínez<1%
  • Alberto López Rosas<1%
  • Abelina López Rodríguez<1%
  • Félix Salgado Macedonio<1%
  • Iván Hernández Díaz<1%
  • Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos<1%
  • Alejandro Bravo Abarca<1%
  • Eloy Salmerón Díaz<1%
  • Yesenia Galarza Castro<1%
  • Julián López Galeana<1%
  • Erika Lorena Lührs<1%

How the odds have moved

Beatriz Mojica Morga: 88% on Oct 20, 63% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 2, 11 PM ETBeatriz Mojica Morga: 63% → 54%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 30, 11 PM ETBeatriz Mojica Morga: 64% → 56%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  3. Oct 26, 11 PM ETBeatriz Mojica Morga: 88% → 76%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Beatriz Mojica Morga 63% ▲ 1 56¢ 85¢ $1.17 $18.6K
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 14% ▼ 8 2¢ 28¢ $3.51 $2.2K
Manuel Añorve Baños 6% ▼ 1 1¢ 13¢ $8.00 $3.8K
Genaro Vázquez Flores 5% 0¢ 10¢ $10.00 $1.7K
Esthela Damián Peralta 3% 2¢ 5¢ $18.52 $32.9K
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera 1% 0¢ 3¢ $38.46 $2.1K
Mario Moreno Arcos 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $2.6K
Rubén Cayetano García 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $1.5K
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $2K
Héctor Astudillo Flores 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $1.7K
Karen Castrejón Trujillo 1% 0¢ 2¢ $66.67 $2.6K
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez 1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.4K
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz 1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.9K
Guadalupe Eguiluz <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.8K
Carlos Reyes Torres <1% 0¢ 1¢ $2.5K
Javier Saldaña Almazán <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.5K
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros <1% 0¢ 0¢ $5.5K
Rogelio Ortega Martínez <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Alberto López Rosas <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Abelina López Rodríguez <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Félix Salgado Macedonio <1% 0¢ $1.2K
Iván Hernández Díaz <1% 0¢ $817
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos <1% 0¢ $604
Alejandro Bravo Abarca <1% 0¢ $1K
Eloy Salmerón Díaz <1% 0¢ $829
Yesenia Galarza Castro <1% 0¢ $1.4K
Julián López Galeana <1% 0¢ $1.6K
Erika Lorena Lührs <1% 0¢ $1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Guerrero Governor, Beatriz Mojica Morga, Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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