Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes May 31, 2027 · $2K today · $517K traded · $90.4K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

70%Ulrich Siegmund
  • Ulrich Siegmund70%▲ 1
  • Sepp Müller2%
  • Sven Schulze2%
  • Claudia Wittig1%
  • Armin Willingmann<1%
  • Eva von Angern<1%
  • Lydia Hüskens<1%
  • Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz<1%
  • Thomas Schulze<1%
  • Franziska Weidinger<1%
  • André Schröder<1%
  • Tamara Zieschang<1%

How the odds have moved

Ulrich Siegmund: 71% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETUlrich Siegmund: 74% → 79%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Ulrich Siegmund 70% ▲ 1 68¢ 71¢ $1.41 $398K
Sepp Müller 2% 1¢ 4¢ $27.03 $5.2K
Sven Schulze 2% 1¢ 2¢ $58.82 $88.4K
Claudia Wittig 1% 2¢ $52.63 $4.1K
Armin Willingmann <1% 1¢ $3.9K
Eva von Angern <1% 1¢ $2.8K
Lydia Hüskens <1% 0¢ $2.4K
Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz <1% 0¢ $2.6K
Thomas Schulze <1% 0¢ $2.9K
Franziska Weidinger <1% 0¢ $3.3K
André Schröder <1% 0¢ $1.4K
Tamara Zieschang <1% 0¢ $1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt, Ulrich Siegmund, Sepp Müller

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions