New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28 · $8.5K today · $351K traded · $46.8K at stake · prices read 11 min ago

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The odds

62%Su Chiao-hui
  • Su Chiao-hui62%▼ 3
  • Lee Shu-chuan37%
  • Huang Kuo-chang<1%

How the odds have moved

Su Chiao-hui: 63% on Oct 20, 62% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 20, 11 PM ETSu Chiao-hui: 63% → 55%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Su Chiao-hui 62% ▼ 3 61¢ 63¢ $1.59 $177K
Lee Shu-chuan 37% 35¢ 38¢ $2.63 $173K
Huang Kuo-chang <1% 0¢ $1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Taipei Mayor, Su Chiao-hui, Lee Shu-chuan

Search ›
  • 2026 Elections: Taipei mayoral rivals step up campaigns; back allies in Kaohsiung台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an’s (蔣萬安) campaign called on supporters yesterday to join a Nov. 14 march and rally, while Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Puma Shen (沈伯洋) led a campaign motorcade through two Taipei districts. The…
  • Night market rally台北時報 · 4 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages Jane Shih, left, wife of Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an, and Tsai Pi-yun, right, wife of Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) New…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions