Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Chang San-cheng
93%
92¢
94¢
$1.06
$43.9K
Huang Shih-chieh
7%
7¢
8¢
$12.20
$44.9K
Perng Shaw-jiin
<1%
0¢
$1.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Taoyuan Mayor, Chang San-cheng, Huang Shih-chieh
DPP candidates pledge better support for new immigrants台北時報 · 7 days agoThree Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidates for mayor and county commissioner today unveiled proposals to improve public services and business start-up support for new immigrants, calling for greater government resources and…
2026 Elections: Shen launches ‘policy island’ as Chiang rallies allies台北時報 · 16 days agoDemocratic Progressive Party (DPP) Legislator and Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈伯洋) has issued his policy platform and campaign materials, as Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an (蔣萬安) of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), who is seeking…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions