Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28 · $3.4K today · $98.3K traded · $7.5K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

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The odds

77%Johnny Chiang
  • Johnny Chiang77%▼ 4
  • Ho Hsin-chun23%▲ 2
  • Yang Chiung-ying<1%

How the odds have moved

Johnny Chiang: 71% on Oct 20, 77% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 28, 11 PM ETJohnny Chiang: 74% → 83%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Johnny Chiang 77% ▼ 4 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 $50.4K
Ho Hsin-chun 23% ▲ 2 22¢ 24¢ $4.24 $44.9K
Yang Chiung-ying <1% 0¢ $3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Taichung Mayor, Johnny Chiang, Ho Hsin-chun

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  • Taichung mayoral candidates attend transit hub opening台北時報 · 5 days agoThe Democratic Progressive Party’s Taichung mayoral candidate, Legislator Ho Hsin-chun (何欣純), and her Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) rival, Deputy Legislative Speaker Johnny Chiang (江啟臣), yesterday attended the opening ceremony for a new…
  • 2026 Elections: Polls offer mixed picture of Taichung race台北時報 · 6 days agoFive opinion polls released since early October have shown contrasting levels of support for Taichung mayoral candidates Ho Hsin-chun (何 欣純) of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and Johnny Chiang (江啟臣) of the Chinese Nationalist Party…
  • Coattail effect goes in reverse for rival camps as Taipei mayoral race heats upZaobao English · 5 days agoThe Taipei mayoral race is heating up, with a reversal in the coattail effect within the Blue and Green camps signalling a new phase of the electoral tussle. The two held their first televised debate on 31 October. A post-debate telephone…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions