Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
2%
2¢
3¢
$37.04
$148K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Strait of Hormuz could reopen as part of Qatari plan for Iran nuclear inspectionsthe Guardian · 3 days agoTrump still considering new assault on Iran nuclear sites – though threats less credible after Vance remarks Qatar, the lead mediator in the US-Iran conflict, is seeking to persuade Tehran to allow UN nuclear weapons inspectors to visit…
South Korea says it will expand naval operations closer to strait of Hormuzthe Guardian · 5 days agoSeoul to seek parliamentary approval to extend anti-piracy Cheonghae unit’s area to about 650km from the vital strait after criticism from Donald Trump on Iran war support South Korea plans to expand the operations of its anti-piracy unit…
Four tankers destroyed by naval mines in Strait of Hormuz, Iran's IRGC saysBBC News · 6 days agoIran's president Masoud Pezeshkian said "no-one will benefit from this war" if fighting with the US and Israel restarts Four oil tankers were destroyed after hitting naval sea mines, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on…
Iran Says Two Tankers Hit Mines In Strait Of HormuzEurasia Review · 3 days agoThe Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy announced that two oil tankers attempting to pass through unauthorized routes in the Strait of Hormuz struck mines and were stopped in the strategic waterway, according to the IRGC-linked…
At Least 25 seafarers killed in Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflictTrend.Az · 3 days agoTrend News Agency At Least 25 seafarers killed in Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict BAKU, Azerbaijan, November 7. At least 25 seafarers have been killed in the Strait of Hormuz as a result of the conflict between the United States and…
Iran's seven conditions essential to reopening Strait of Hormuz: army spokesmanTehran Times · 3 days agoTEHRAN– Iranian Army Spokesman Brigadier General Mohammad Akraminia said the United States must accept Iran’s seven conditions for the Strait of Hormuz to reopen, stressing that neither renewed aggression nor further military adventurism…
Iran allows ship carrying fertilizer for SL to pass Strait of Hormuzisland.lk · 3 days agoBatting frailties give Sri Lanka food for thought Three crucial knockout matches today World record 53 red cards shown in Brazilian youth game Vadodara and Mumbai to host WPL 2027 Mendis and Udara steady ship with warm-up fifties A vessel…
US strikes Iranian island in Strait of HormuzFox News · 6 days agoJennifer Griffin reports on U.S. military strikes on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after Iran targeted an American aircraft. Mike Pompeo also joins to analyze the conflict during 'The Faulkner Focus.' US strikes Iranian island in…
Strait of Hormuz Attacks Increase Marine War-Risk Insurance Concerns@BeinsureMedia · 3 days agoRenewed attacks on commercial vessels in the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz are maintaining pressure on maritime security and marine war-risk insurance, despite a partial recovery in oil prices following a sharp selloff after the US…
How Iran is using the Strait of Hormuz to extort the WestWIN · 3 days agoBy Amine Ayoub, The Middle East Forum The diplomatic push in Doha is not a breakthrough in regional peacemaking; it is an exercise in extortion. As Qatar and Pakistan lead talks between Washington and Tehran, which are backed politically…
Two tankers strike mines in Strait of Hormuz: IRGC NavyTehran Times · 3 days agoTEHRAN â The Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy says two oil tankers attempting to navigate unauthorized routes through the Strait of Hormuz struck mines and caught fire. Two tankers strike mines in Strait of Hormuz: IRGC Navy…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions