Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 8, 11 PM ETEgypt: 7% → 13%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Egypt
11%
7¢
14¢
$7.14
$11.8K
Syria
10%
▼ 4
4¢
16¢
$6.33
$8.7K
Bahrain
10%
6¢
13¢
$7.69
$2.4K
Kuwait
9%
7¢
10¢
$10.00
$4.4K
Lebanon
8%
▲ 1
5¢
10¢
$9.80
$3.7K
Qatar
7%
4¢
10¢
$10.00
$2.7K
Jordan
7%
4¢
9¢
$10.87
$1.6K
Iraq
6%
5¢
7¢
$14.29
$3.8K
Sudan
5%
▼ 1
4¢
7¢
$15.15
$3.4K
Yemen
5%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
$6.2K
Somalia
4%
2¢
6¢
$17.24
$5.7K
Morocco
3%
2¢
5¢
$20.83
$4.5K
Algeria
2%
1¢
3¢
$31.25
$543
Iran
2%
1¢
3¢
$31.25
$3.7K
United Arab Emirates
2%
1¢
2¢
$41.67
$21.2K
Oman
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$2.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Turkish Parliament Approves Mecca Agreement for Joint DefenseSada News Agency · 4 days agoSadaNews - The Grand National Assembly of Turkey has approved a bill to ratify the Mecca Agreement for joint defense among Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. During the discussions, the MPs emphasized that they do not oppose Turkey…
"If Syria joins the Mecca Agreement, there will be a war between Israel and Turkey"EADaily · 4 days agoEADaily If Syria joins the Mecca Agreement, Israel's war with Turkey will begin This assumption was made on the Israeli TV channel Channel 12 The main logic of the statement is as follows: if Syria joins the "Mecca Defense Alliance", which…
Turkish Parliament approves “Mecca Agreement”ANHA · 3 days agoThe General Assembly of the Turkish Parliament approved the bill authorising the ratification of the “Mecca Agreement” following the conclusion of parliamentary debates. Speaking to Turkish media, Ziya Altunyaldız, a member of parliament…
Sharaa arrives in Riyadh amid growing speculation about Syria joining Mecca AgreementThe New Arab · 6 days agoSyria's Sharaa visits Riyadh amid Mecca Agreement speculation Trump admits Iran war played role in Republican midterm defeat Houthi missile attack kills dozens at military camp in Yemen A shrinking space: The silencing of Egypt's…
Syria sends instructors to Saudi Arabia to share combat experience — TVTASS · 3 days agoBEIRUT, November 6. /TASS/. Syria has sent its military instructors to Saudi Arabia under the bilateral defense cooperation agreement between the countries, Syria TV said, citing a high-ranking Syrian diplomat. "The mission involves…
Pakistan Decides To Resume Offshore Oil And Gas Exploration After 20 YearsUrduPoint · 4 days agoSanaullah Nagra (@) Published November 06, 2026 | 08:39 PM A Turkish petroleum company's seismic survey vessel will arrive in Karachi between Nov. 17 and 20; bilateral cooperation following the Mecca Agreement is an important milestone…
Türkiye's Fidan signals Mecca defense alliance expansion as Ankara ratifies pactTürkiye Today · 4 days agoTurkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said countries sharing a common vision of regional peace could join the Mecca defense alliance, as Türkiye's parliament approved the trilateral defense agreement with Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, paving…
Türkiye Ratifies Joint Defense Agreement With Pakistan and Saudi ArabiaCaspianpost.com · 4 days agoTürkiye's Grand National Assembly has ratified the Mecca Agreement on joint defense cooperation among Türkiye, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, marking a new step in military coordination among the three countries. The bill was approved by 279…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions