How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Crypto.com Elections › Senate Closes Jan 4, 2027 · $288 today · $288 traded · prices read 3 min ago

Embed

The odds

97%Above 52
  • Above 5297%
  • Below 452%
  • 482%
  • 472%
  • 462%
  • 512%
  • 522%
  • 491%
  • 451%
  • 50<1%

How the odds have moved

Above 52: 36% on Oct 20, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 52 97% 97¢ $1.03 113
Below 45 2% 4¢ $25.00 15.00
48 2% 4¢ $25.00 6.00
47 2% 4¢ $25.00
46 2% 4¢ $25.00
51 2% 4¢ $25.00
52 2% 4¢ $25.00 154
49 1% 3¢ $33.33
45 1% 3¢ $33.33
50 <1% 1¢ $100.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Senate, Midterms

Search ›
  • Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm lossesFox News · 2 days agoRon Johnson, R-Wisc., joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss President Donald Trump's comments to Senate Republicans and a new bid for Senate minority leader. Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm losses Ron Johnson, R-Wisc…
  • Trump rebukes Senate after midterm romp: 'It's just killing our country'Washington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
  • How Democrats reshaped the Senate, in charts and mapsCNN · 40 h agoTwo years after President Donald Trump carried much of the country’s political map, voters in some of his strongest states delivered a dramatic reversal Tuesday. Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, including in states…
  • These House and Senate midterm races don't have winners yetCBS News · 3 days agoNovember 6, 2026 / 9:18 AM EST / CBS News The makeup of Congress shifted dramatically in the 2026 midterm elections, as Democrats decisively won control of the Senate and picked up dozens of House seats — in what's on track to be one of…
  • Tennessee U.S. Senate Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 4 days agoThe Tennessee Senate race has shifted 17.55 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
  • Delaware U.S. Senate Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 4 days agoThe Delaware Senate race has shifted 12.43 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans Arrow ... After a historic wave of…
  • Democrats' post-midterm agenda EXPOSED amid impeachment talkFox News · 27 h agoFox News contributor Johnny 'Joey' Jones and other panelists join 'The Big Weekend Show' to discuss the Democrats' post-midterm priorities. Democrats' post-midterm agenda EXPOSED amid impeachment talk Fox News contributor Johnny 'Joey'…
  • Democrats' midterm victories open path to bypass Electoral CollegeFox News · 27 h agoFox News national correspondent Bryan Llenas joins ‘Fox Report’ to discuss the Democrats' post-midterm agenda. Democrats' midterm victories open path to bypass Electoral College Fox News national correspondent Bryan Llenas joins ‘Fox…
  • On GPS: Ezra Klein on the Democrats’ stunning midterms performancecnn.com · 32 h agoFor years, American politics seemed to be driven by two polarized sides, and shaped largely by cultural issues. Fareed discusses whether that divide is beginning to break down with the New York Times opinion columnist Ezra Klein, who hosts…
  • Newly elected Democrats arrive in DC after historic midterm victoriesFox News · 30 h agoFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram joins ‘Fox News Live’ to report on the newly elected Democrats arriving to Washington, D.C. after a historic blue wave took place in the midterm elections. Newly elected Democrats…
  • How will Democrats approach foreign policy after their midterm win?NPR · 36 h agoNPR's Rob Schmitz speaks with Thomas Wright, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, about his piece in Foreign Affairs titled The Fight for the Future of Democratic Foreign Policy. How will Democrats approach foreign policy after…
  • Democrats won the midterms. Republicans may have won something bigger.The Washington Post · 38 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Social Security and…

Related markets

All senate ›
Elections › Senate

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

98%None
  • None98%
  • AK2%
  • All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Democratic Leader? (2028)

88%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer88%▼ 2
  • Chris Van Hollen10%▲ 2
  • Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
10 more
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mark Warner<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Raphael Warnock<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Tammy Baldwin<1%
  • Jon Ossoff<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jacky Rosen<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2028 · $27K today
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

89%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer89%▼ 4
  • Chris Van Hollen9%▲ 4
  • Brian Schatz2%▼ 1
8 more
  • John Thune<1%
  • John Barrasso<1%
  • Steve Daines<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Mark Kelly<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions