Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo (Nov 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.6K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

27%Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House
  • Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House27%
  • Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate8%
  • Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor4%
  • Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate4%
  • Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate1%
  • Democratic sweep1%
  • Republican sweep1%
  • Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House1%
  • Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor1%
  • Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate1%
  • Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate1%
  • Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate1%

How the odds have moved

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republi: 47% on Oct 20, 27% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 7, 9 PM ETDemocrats win Governor &…: 92% → 84%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Nov 3, 9 PM ETDemocrats win Governor &…: 52% → 3%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House 27% 30¢ 89¢ $1.12 5.9K
Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate 8% 2¢ 68¢ $1.47 3.4K
Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor 4% 57¢ $1.75 2.8K
Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate 4% 15¢ $6.67 836
Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate 1% 2¢ $50.00 3.7K
Democratic sweep 1% 2¢ $50.00 33.2K
Republican sweep 1% 1¢ $100.00 4.6K
Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.5K
Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.9K
Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate 1% 1¢ $100.00 830
Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate 1% 1¢ $100.00 9.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Governor & Senate, Alaska House

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Elections › Senate

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

98%None
  • None98%
  • AK2%
  • All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Democratic Leader? (2028)

88%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer88%▼ 2
  • Chris Van Hollen10%▲ 2
  • Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
10 more
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mark Warner<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Raphael Warnock<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Tammy Baldwin<1%
  • Jon Ossoff<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jacky Rosen<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2028 · $27K today
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

89%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer89%▼ 4
  • Chris Van Hollen9%▲ 4
  • Brian Schatz2%▼ 1
8 more
  • John Thune<1%
  • John Barrasso<1%
  • Steve Daines<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Mark Kelly<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions