Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
3%
▼ 1
2¢
3¢
$33.33
16.9K
Before Jan 1, 2028
6%
▼ 2
5¢
7¢
$14.29
10.2K
Before Jan 20, 2029
13%
▼ 3
12¢
13¢
$7.69
218.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Section IV, Trump's Presidency, Amendment
Voters say midterms are referendum on Trump's presidencyCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Voters say midterms are referendum on Trump's presidency What are voters’ top concerns? Center Township Water Authority continues to investigate source of E. coli contamination Brashear High School raises over $1,000 for the KDKA…
Section IV Tournament Continues TonightWICZ · 6 days agoRead MoreSection IV Tournament Continues Tonight Rev. Major Barnett Sr. Honored with Street Sign Read MoreRev. Major Barnett Sr. Honored with Street Sign BU Students Vote on Election Day Read MoreBU Students Vote on Election Day Lynn…
Ossoff Says Victory Is Rebuke to Trump PresidencyYahoo Finance · 6 days agoYahoo! Finance Canada Oops, something went wrong Canada markets open in 2h 15m Ossoff Says Victory Is Rebuke to Trump Presidency "The American people have rebuked the depravity, corruption and incompetence of the failed, lame-duck…
Transcript: Trump Presidency on Life Support as Blue Wave Drowns MAGAThe New Republic · 5 days agoThe following is a lightly edited transcript of the November 4 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here. We’re talking to New Republic editor Michael Tomasky about all of it. Mike, what a night. Michael Tomasky: Incredible. I…
Trump Presidency on Life Support after Blue Tsunami’s Reach Shocks GOPThe New Republic · 6 days agoIn a stunning series of outcomes, Democrats won control of the House and Senate on Tuesday. They’re projected to take control of at least 244 House seats, per NBC, and as of now, they’ve flipped Senate seats in South Carolina, Ohio, Texas…
Americans Vote In Election That Could Reshape Trump Presidencydeccanchronicle.com · 6 days agoPolls predict the Democrats will win a majority in the House of Representatives and possibly seize the Senate WASHINGTON: Millions of Americans voted Tuesday in a midterm election seen as a referendum on Donald Trump that could wrest…
Polls begin closing in midterms set to roil Trump presidencyAFP.com · 6 days agoPublished on November 4, 2026 at 00:17 Polls began closing Tuesday in US midterms with Democrats poised to seize the House and potentially the Senate, threatening to shatter Donald Trump's grip on Washington and curtail his power for the…
Americans vote in midterms set to upend Trump presidency@thepeninsulaqatar · 6 days agoWashington, United States: Americans voted on Tuesday in pivotal midterm elections with Democrats hoping to seize control of Congress and impose the first significant checks on Donald Trump's chaotic second term in the White House…
How Americans Vote in Midterms Could Reshape Trump's PresidencyNDTV · 6 days agoMillions of Americans voted Tuesday in a midterm election seen as a referendum on Donald Trump that could wrest control of Congress from Republicans and impose major restraints on the president's remaining two years in office. Polls…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions