Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
Oct 16, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202717%▲ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202727%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202743%▲ 1
1 more
- Before Jan 1, 202856%▲ 1
Install
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
The odds
40%Before Apr 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202733%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202740%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 34% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 33% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 4.5K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 40% | ▼ 1 | 36¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 70.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude
Search ›- Anthropic clamps down on Claude’s AI video game clonesAnthropic is steering Claude away from recreating specific titles, but users can still use it to make their own games. Anthropic has updated Claude Code’s system prompt to prevent the AI tool from being used to recreate existing video…
- Anthropic says you can’t be mean to Claude. It’s not about feelings - CNNIn early October, AI giant Anthropic inserted new language into its AI usage policy. Alongside banning users from trying to get Claude, the company’s AI system, to help them create bioweapons or sell illegal drugs, the company added a new…
- Why Anthropic Stopped Claude From Cloning GamesBoth Batman: Arkham Knight and Marvel's Spider-Man Remastered were popular games at the time of their release. Released at the height of the superhero craze in popular culture and made and published by different game developers and…
- Why Claude Code Matters to Anthropic’s Business ModelThe filing calls Claude Code “our coding agent and the product we believe has most concretely defined what autonomous AI work looks like.” This analysis puts what the S-1/A says next to what our own reporting on Claude Code has found, from…
- Anthropic restricts Claude Code from cloning existing video gamesAnthropic has introduced new restrictions for Claude Code to prevent users from recreating existing video games with artificial intelligence (AI). The move comes amid growing concerns about AI-assisted game cloning, with popular titles…
- Anthropic Launches Claude Design, Challenging Lovable and FigmaIt had previously become known that Mike Krieger, Anthropic’s Chief Product Officer, had stepped down from Figma’s board because the company is working on a competing product. That it is Claude Design is now clear. Its core features…
- Anthropic Using Claude to Help Design In-House Chipsmarketscreener.com Published on 11/03/2026 at 10:08 am EST Latest news about NVIDIA Corporation Income Statement and Estimates NScale, Anthropic in Talks for $45B AI Computing Deal October 20, 2026 at 01:54 pm EDT
- CrowdStrike Integrates Falcon Guardian Security Into Anthropic's Claude CoworkCrowdStrike Holdings agreed on a new partner integration with Anthropic that will bring its Falcon Guardian AI Detection and Response solution directly into Claude's Cowork, according to a Tuesday... CrowdStrike Integrates Falcon Guardian…
- Anthropic Rewrote Claude's Messages API in RustI built this page. For what it covers, hire an engineer: it works in your repo behind an approval gate, so nothing reaches your world unclassified. The clip spread on X on October 30, three days after the episode, through a post by…
- Anthropic said to use Claude to make its own chipsBreakingthenews.net
- Want to recreate Minecraft using Claude AI? Anthropic has introduced new restrictionsWION - /Want to recreate Minecraft using Claude AI? Anthropic has introduced new restrictions Anthropic has updated Claude Code to discourage users from recreating copyrighted video games such as Minecraft and Candy Crush. Developers can…
- Anthropic’s Claude AI Predicts a Monumental Move for SUI by 2027Something potentially explosive could be approaching for Sui crypto (SUI) by January 1, 2027. Anthropic’s Claude AI predicts a potentially unprecedented move for the Layer-1 project based on an intentionally extreme, over-the-top scenario…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions