Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
13%
▲ 1
10¢
16¢
$6.25
301
Before Apr 1, 2027
26%
▲ 1
22¢
30¢
$3.33
118
Before Jul 1, 2027
37%
▲ 1
32¢
41¢
$2.44
Before Oct 1, 2027
55%
▲ 1
50¢
59¢
$1.69
Before Jan 1, 2028
65%
▲ 1
60¢
69¢
$1.45
Before Jul 1, 2028
81%
▲ 1
77¢
85¢
$1.18
200
Before Jan 1, 2029
93%
▲ 1
89¢
97¢
$1.03
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Scott Bessent May Be About To Rewrite The Rules Of The Treasury MarketThe WealthAdvisor · 7 days agoTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent is preparing for what could be the biggest overhaul of U.S. government debt issuance in nearly three years, with Wall Street increasingly expecting a shift away from long-term bonds as Washington tries to…
Scott Bessent: Nowhere is the war on fraud more urgent than in MinnesotaFox News · 10 days agoTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveils a massive federal investigation into alleged multi-million-dollar fraud in Minnesota. Scott Bessent: Nowhere is the war on fraud more urgent than in Minnesota Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent…
Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent: Bond market has done a lot of tightening for usCNBC · 12 days agoU.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sits down with CNBC's Brian Sullivan for a wide-ranging interview discussing energy prices, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and much more. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent: Bond market has done a lot…
LATEST: US Treasury flags $8 billion in suspicious foreign-directed transactionsAML Intelligence · 7 days agoFinancial Crime, Fraud, US THE US Treasury Department has flagged more than $8 billion in potentially suspicious cross-border wire payments. Foreign agents directed the payments through US-based money services businesses (MSBs) between…
Nov. 1 — Sen. Tim Scott, Rep. Jamie Raskin, Gov. JB PritzkerNBC News · 8 days agoNBC News Nov. 1 — Sen. Tim Scott, Rep. Jamie Raskin, Gov. JB Pritzker Meet the Press NOW — October 30 Meet the Press NOW — October 29 Meet the Press NOW — October 28 Meet the Press NOW — October 27 Meet the Press NOW — October 26 Oct. 25 —…
Tunica-Biloxi Chairman Marshall Pierite appointed to U.S. Treasury advisory committeeAvoyelles Today · 7 days agoTunica-Biloxi Tribe of Louisiana Chairman Marshall Pierite has been appointed to a federal advisory committee that helps shape tax policies affecting Tribal governments, businesses and citizens nationwide. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions