The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Proposition 5
100%
▲ 3
99¢
5.8K
✓ Proposition 1
99%
▲ 2
$1.01
6.5K
✓ Proposition 2
99%
▲ 5
$1.01
2.8K
✓ Proposition 3
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
5.4K
✓ Proposition 37
99%
▲ 3
$1.01
5.8K
Proposition 38
99%
▲ 1
98¢
$1.01
10.3K
Proposition 42
94%
▼ 1
91¢
97¢
$1.03
10.3K
Proposition 4
58%
▲ 17
55¢
61¢
$1.64
29.5K
Proposition 43
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
3.0K
Proposition 41
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
1.9K
Proposition 39
1%
▼ 14
$100.00
12.2K
Proposition 44
1%
▼ 4
$100.00
6.5K
Proposition 45
1%
1¢
$100.00
7.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
California voters approve $25B home loan plan under Prop 37Fox Business · 7 h agoCalifornia voters approve a $25 billion dollar home loan plan under Prop 37. 'The Big Money Show' breaks down the eligibility requirements, which include earning up to twice an area's median income. The panel debates whether this…
How Medicaid affected one California House raceNPR · 12 h agoA Republican in California's Central Valley fended off challengers for years. But his district had a lot of people on Medicaid, and he lost by a large margin this time. How Medicaid affected one California House race A Republican in…
California to force gym buffs to show ID to buy popular fitness supplementCalifornia Post · 9 h agoCalifornia will begin restricting the sale of muscle-building and weight-loss supplements to minors next year, including creatine supplements marketed for that end. Under the new law, retailers will have to request identification from…
Proposition 43 rejected by California voters, AP projectsCBS News · 12 h agoUpdated on: November 8, 2026 / 3:29 PM PST / CBS LA California voters have rejected Proposition 43, the ballot measure aimed at making it harder to enact local tax measures, AP projects. Prop 43 would have made it harder to increase local…
Could outgoing California Gov. Gavin Newsom run for President?CBS News · 7 h agoGov. Gavin Newsom, who will leave office as California governor in January, is among the possible Democratic candidates for the 2028 presidential election. LA Times California Politics Editor Phil Willon talks about the possibility. Could…
Where California’s Next Governor Stands On Death PenaltyNewsweek · 7 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 08:48 AM EST California Governor Gavin Newsom has announced plans to convert every death sentence to life imprisonment without the possibility of parole, putting the spotlight on the man set to succeed him, Xavier Becerra…
California faces one-two punch as voters reject wealth tax and billionaires eye exitsFox Business · 33 h agoWayne Winegarden, an economist at the Pacific Research Institute, said the measure’s defeat may halt further departures tied to wealth taxes, though California could keep losing residents as its competitive edge erodes. California voters…
Voters elect Jane Kim for California insurance commissioner, AP projectsCBS News · 31 h agoNovember 8, 2026 / 11:20 AM PST / CBS San Francisco As insurance commissioner, Kim will lead the California Department of Insurance in regulating insurance companies, enforcing state laws and responding to consumer complaints. Kim is a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions