Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $352 today · $72K traded · $11.5K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

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The odds

12%chance▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Yes: 22% on Oct 20, 12% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 12% ▼ 3 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 626.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Panama Canal

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  • Panama Canal strengthens long-term vision following 41st Advisory Board meetingSMI DIGITAL · 7 days agoThe Panama Canal Boards of Directors and Advisors concluded their 41st meeting at the end of last week, following three days of discussions focused on evaluating opportunities for the waterway’s growth in a rapidly evolving global maritime…
  • Panama Canal revises transit booking rules and NetZero eligibilitySAFETY4SEA · 8 days agoThe Panama Canal Authority (ACP) has revised its transit booking system and expanded eligibility for its NetZero Slot program, allowing first-time transit vessels to compete for dedicated slots after completing preliminary assessment…
  • Panama Canal Revises Transit Booking System and Updates NetZero RequirementThe Maritime Executive · 9 days agoThe Maritime Executive The Panama Canal has updated the criteria for reallocating transit slots that are canceled or become available during booking periods 1A and 2 at the Neopanamax locks The changes, announced through an Advisory to…
  • How Trump’s ‘Donroe Doctrine’ is taking back the Western HemisphereNew York Post · 6 days agoPresident Trump’s “Donroe Doctrine” has solidified the US grip over almost two-thirds of the Western Hemisphere, cutting deals with pro-America governments, targeting drug cartels, and booting Chinese influence, officials and experts say…
  • Catch PN in the Panama CanalPositively Naperville · 10 days agoA Positively Naperville reader caught reading Positively Naperville in Panama Canal, Panama, about 2,317 miles from Naperville. Catch Someone Reading PN! A Positively Naperville reader caught reading Positively Naperville in Panama Canal…
  • Panama VLSFO quality trends 2 NovEngine · 7 days agoTypical VLSFO qualities in Panama Canal ports based on 54 fuel samples over the past 14 days. Fog season begins on US Gulf Coast, bunker disruptions expected LNG Bunker Snapshot: Singapore-ARA spread narrows as European gas supply concerns…
  • Panama National Day 3 NovemberMirage News · 7 days agoWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. On behalf of the United States of America, I congratulate the people of…
  • International Canals: Laws and Treaty Rules Governing Inter-Oceanic CanalsLegal Service India - Articles · 7 days agoInternational canals are artificial waterways constructed to connect two seas or oceans and facilitate international navigation and trade. They provide shorter and safer routes for ships, saving time and transportation costs. Important…
  • CELEBRITY CRUISES OPENS BOOKINGS FOR CELEBRITY XCITE'S DEBUT SEASON@PRNewswire · 6 days agoNov 03, 2026, 09:15 ET The sixth ship in the award-winning Edge Series will sail the Caribbean in 2028, joining nine other Celebrity Cruises ships sailing to unforgettable island escapes. Highlights of the 2028-2029 Caribbean season…
  • USS Gridley Returns to Everett After Seven-Months of OperationsSeapower Magazine · 6 days agoEVERETT, Wash. – Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Gridley (DDG 101) returned home to Naval Station Everett, Oct. 9, 2026, after a seven-month deployment to the U.S. 4th Fleet area of operations. Gridley departed Everett…
  • Allan ForwardValley News · 6 days agoValley News Lakeland, FL – Allan J Forward (82) passed away October 18, 2026 in Lakeland, FL after a short illness. He was born in Winchester, MA on December 14, 1943. His family moved to Etna, NH when he was 5 years old. He attended…
  • Celebrity opens bookings for Celebrity Xcite’s debut Caribbean season@PAX_news · 6 days agoSome of them are necessary for the functioning of the site, but you can decide about others. Celebrity Cruises has opened bookings for the inaugural season of Celebrity Xcite, the sixth ship in its Edge Series, which will begin sailing…

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

37%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth37%▼ 5
  • Will Scharf30%▼ 13
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 9
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
  • Amy Gleason27%▼ 7
  • Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
  • Kash Patel23%
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%
  • Dan Caine20%▼ 3
  • Steven Cheung19%▼ 17
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 3
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 3
  • Marco Rubio16%▼ 1
  • Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
  • Chris Wright14%▼ 1
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • John Ratcliffe14%▲ 3
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%▼ 4
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
  • Jamieson Greer12%
  • Tom Homan11%▲ 1
  • Mike Huckabee11%▼ 1
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 2
  • Rodney Scott10%
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz9%▼ 9
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Scott Bessent8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%▲ 1
  • Tilman Fertitta8%▲ 2
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 3

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions